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🗓️ Date: June 11, 2025
💰 Current Price: $159.50 (-3.17%)
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🔍 Key Changes vs Previous
❌ Price broke below EMA(25) → trend weakness
📉 RSI plunged to 53.09 (from 68.13) → momentum fading
📊 MACD histogram reduced from +0.30 → +0.21
🔻 Volume weak: 590K SOL vs 5-day avg 2.57M → breakdown lacks conviction
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📈 Technical Breakdown
🔴 Bearish Structure Building
Price now under EMA(25) → short-term bias flipped
Price testing triple confluence: EMA(7), EMA(99), 24h low zone
📉 Volume Discrepancy
Weak sell volume → possible fakeout or delayed panic
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🧱 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels:
$159.91 (EMA 25 - now resistance)
$160.50 (psychological level)
$168.36 (24h high)
Support Levels:
$158.74 (24h low)
$158.12 (EMA 99)
$155.00 (minor chart support)
$149.28 (next major support)
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🔮 Price Prediction
⏳ Next 12–24 Hours
🟥 Base Case (60%): Breakdown below $158.12 → $157.00 → $155.00
🟩 Bounce Case (40%): Support holds → bounce to $159.90 → $160.50
🗓️ 3-Day Outlook
🔻 Close below $158.00 → opens room for $149.28
🔼 Close above $160.50 → recovery back toward $165.00
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🧠 Trade Plan
🔻 Short Scalp (Immediate 4h)
Entry: $159.30–$159.50
Target: $158.50 → $158.00
Stop: $159.80
Confirmation: 15m candle close <$159.30
🔄 Counter Long
Entry: $158.50 (EMA 7/99 confluence)
Target: $159.90
Stop: $158.00
Trigger: Bullish divergence on 5m
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📉 Swing Trades
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $158.10
Target: $155.00 → $149.28
Stop: $158.80
Confirm: 4h close <$158.00
2. Reversal Long
Entry: $160.60 (reclaim EMA 25)
Target: $162.00 → $165.00
Stop: $159.50
Trigger: Volume >1.5M SOL & RSI >55
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🛡️ Risk Management
Position Size: ≤2% of capital
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $158.00, 50% at $157.00
Long: 50% at $159.90, 50% at $160.50
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
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⚙️ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! EMA(7) < EMA(25) = death cross
! RSI < 50 and falling
! 4h candle closes below $158.00
! Volume spike with red candle
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Hammer or engulfing candle at $158.50
! MACD histogram expands
! RSI > 55
! Volume >1.2M SOL
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✅ Summary
SOL/USDT is at a critical breakdown point:
🛡️ Key Support: $158.12–$158.74
🚫 Resistance: $159.91 (must reclaim to flip bullish)
⚠️ Top Trade Setups:
1. Short Scalp: $159.30–$159.50 → target $158.00
2. Breakdown Short: < $158.10 → target $155.00
3. Counter Long Only: $158.50 with bullish signs
📌 Avoid fresh longs above $159.00 unless confirmed by volume/RSI breakout.
📤 Exit 50% at $158.50 if short. Watch $158 zone closely – it's make-or-break for bulls.
TAKE TRADE FROM HERE 👉$SOL
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