Price: $146.49 (+2.65%) from $142.58 low โ weak rebound
Volume: ๐ 215K SOL (vs 5-day avg of 3.21M) โ extremely weak buying pressure
MACD: Histogram worsened to -0.97 (prev: -0.93) โ bearish momentum increasing
Rejection: Below $148.94 (24h high) & far below all EMAs
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๐ Key Metrics
Price: $146.49
EMAs:
EMA 7 โ $152.63
EMA 25 โ $157.61
EMA 99 โ $157.56
Volume: 215K SOL vs 3.21M (5-day avg)
MACD Histogram: โ -0.97
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๐ Technical Overview
1. Dead Cat Bounce:
+2.65% from $142.58 โ Rejected below $148.94
Volume โฌ๏ธ 93% under average โ no strong buyer interest
EMA downtrend confirmed: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99)
MACD: Histogram deepening โ momentum to downside continues
2. Battle Zones:
Resistance:
$148.94 (24h high)
$152.63 (EMA 7)
$157.61 (EMA 25)
Support:
$142.58 (24h low)
$140.21 (recent dip)
$137.83 (key chart floor)
Breakdown Target: โ ๏ธ $130.00 (psychological)
3. Market Structure:
Lower highs forming โ bear trend structure
No RSI shown, but PA implies oversold conditions
Volume + MACD confirm bearish bias
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๐ Price Prediction
12โ24H Outlook:
Base Case (80%): Reject near $148 โ Drop to $144 โ $142.58
Bull Case (20%): Break $149 โ Squeeze to $152.63 (EMA 7)
3-Day Outlook:
Close below $142.58 = Slide to $137.83 โ $130
Bull recovery above $157.61 needed for trend shift
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๐ง Trade Plan
โก Intraday (4โ6H)
1. Short Scalp Setup
Entry: $147.00โ$147.50
Targets: $144.00 โ $142.50
Stop: $148.50
Confirm: 15m bearish candle
2. Breakout Fade Setup
Entry: $148.50 (fakeout level)
Targets: $146.00 โ $144.00
Stop: $149.50
Trigger: Volume < 300K SOL
โณ Swing Trade Setups
1. Breakdown Short
Entry: $142.00
Targets: $137.83 โ $135.00
Stop: $143.50
Trigger: MACD histogram < -1.00
2. Aggressive Long
Entry: $137.83
Targets: $142.00 โ $145.00
Stop: $136.50
Confirm: 4H hammer candle + volume spike
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โ๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: Max 2% of capital
Profit Booking:
Short: 50% at $144, rest at $142
Long: 50% at $142, rest at $145
SL Risk: Max 0.8% account exposure
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๐จ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! Rejection at $148.94
! 4H Close < $144
! Volume >2M SOL on breakdown
! MACD Histogram < -1.00
+ BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNS:
! Close > $152.63 (EMA 7)
! Volume >2.5M SOL
! MACD Histogram > -0.50
! RSI > 45 (if available)
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โ Summary
SOL/USDT attempting weak bounce with no volume support.
๐ Bearish momentum rising, all EMAs sloping down
โ Avoid longs above $145 until structure improves
โ Best setups:
Short around $147
Breakdown short below $142
Aggressive long only at $137.83 support
๐ Critical zone: $142.50โ$143.00 โ watch for wick traps or stop hunts!
๐ Stay small-sized due to volatility + bear structure
> โ ๏ธ Caution: Low volume & MACD dive โ bear trap potential near $148
Take Trade From here ๐ $SOL
๐Follow me for more updates
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