Several common #趋势 in the currency circle #合约交易
1. Upward trend: step-by-step rise, pullback is an opportunity
Features: highs and lows gradually move up, the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern (MA50>MA100), and the Bollinger band opens upward.
Strategy:
Go long when it pulls back to MA50 or trend line support, and set the stop loss 2% below the previous low (such as BTC retracing to 30,000, stop loss 29,500).
Go long when the previous high is broken through with large volume, and the transaction volume needs to be enlarged by more than 50% for confirmation, and the stop loss is set below the breakthrough level.
Risk control: Be wary of top divergence (new highs in price but RSI goes down), and reduce positions to prevent reversals when it occurs.
2. Downward trend: spiral decline, short when rebounding
Features: lows and highs continue to move down, the moving average is arranged in a bearish pattern, and the Bollinger band diverges downward.
Short when it rebounds to MA50 or trend line pressure level, and set the stop loss 2% above the previous high (e.g. ETH rebounds to $1,500, stop loss is $1,530).
When it falls below the previous low, chase the short, need to confirm with large volume, and set the stop loss above the break point.
Risk control: When oversold (RSI<span beware of short traps, participate in rebound shorts with a light position, and do not chase shorts to extreme lows.
3. Horizontal shock: box game, sell high and buy low
Features: The price fluctuates within a clear range (such as BTC 28,000-32,000), the moving average is glued, and the trading volume is sluggish.
Go long near the lower edge of the range and short at the upper edge, the position is within 30%, and the stop loss is set 3% outside the range.
Grid trading: set 1%-2% price intervals for automatic buying and selling, and reserve 20% of funds to deal with breakthroughs.
Risk control: Avoid dense orders at the boundary of the range, quickly switch trend strategies after the breakthrough, and prevent pin-sweeping stop losses.
Fourth, unilateral trend: violent market driven by extreme emotions
Features: continuous long positive/long negative, price far away from the moving average (deviation rate > 20%), long-short position ratio is extreme (>2 or < 0.5).
Strategy:
After the first breakthrough, light position chasing (20% position), increase position along the 5-day moving average (add 10% for every 1% callback), and set the moving stop loss to the previous K-line low (long)/high (short).
When the perpetual contract has a high fee rate (>0.1%/8h), part of it is switched to the delivery contract to reduce the cost of holding.
Risk control: Be alert to reversal when the position drops sharply. For example, the position dropped by 30% before BTC peaked in 2021. At this time, stop profit is the main focus.
Five. False breakthrough trend: the trap of the main force washing
Features: Reverse after a brief breakthrough of the key position, and the trading volume is not enlarged, which is common in low liquidity periods.#看懂K线 #ETH走势分析 #BTC
