#BTC走势分析 Structural Analysis

This round of rebound broke through 110,000, but failed to break the new high. At the same time, the 4-hour MACD is starting to diverge and has formed a death cross. If it cannot quickly recover above 109,000, it will further escape the top range.

The 4-hour level encountered resistance and fell back near the new high. We prioritize viewing this from a consolidation perspective; it is currently at a high point of consolidation with the strategy being to short from the top. Switching to a 30-minute perspective, a top structure has already formed, with the central level breaking down and failing to rebound back to the central level. Moving forward, pay attention to 109,000. If it cannot rebound, we will look for further support below.

Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a rise and fall, and Bitcoin showed weakness, following the decline rather than rising. U.S. stocks similarly reached the top range; if this position is blocked and falls back, the downside potential for Bitcoin will be greater.

From the perspective of fundamentals and policies, it is still mainly a short position.

At the current position, according to the model, it should be holding a short position. If the 4-hour level can stabilize above 109,000, then continue to wait and see. $BTC $ETH

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