From Liquidation to Enlightenment: A Cognitive Leap
The Essence of Trading Understanding
1. Core Contradiction:
90% of profits come from 10% of trades
80% of the time should maintain a flat position
95% of traders lose to overtrading
2. Battle Review (as of June 12):
Total Liquidation Amount: $230 million
ETH Short Liquidation: $78.2 million (34%)
Largest Single Liquidation: $4.3 million (50x leverage BTC short)
II. The "Three No Principles" of Top Traders
1. When Not to Move:
During sideways market (Volatility < 3%)
1 hour before major data release
During exchange maintenance periods
2. When to Move:
Trend breakout confirmation (3 consecutive candles stable)
Volatility suddenly doubles
On-chain whale activity + technical resonance
Golden Rules for Profit Capture
1. The Art of Position Sizing:
Initial Position: 1-2% trial position
Confirmation: Add 3-5% if trend continues
Sprint: Add 7-10% if breaking previous high
(Pyramid Position Sizing Model)
2. Successful Case Study:
May 2024 ETH Market:
Initial Position 2% at $3000
Add 5% after breaking $3200
Add 8% chasing after $3500
Final profit reached 37% of principal
Last Night's Air Force Annihilation Revelation
1. Typical Fatal Moves:
Adding shorts in the RSI oversold zone (against the trend)
Using 20x+ leverage (fragile)
Not setting stop-loss (fantasizing about a pullback)
2. Survivor Characteristics:
Leverage below 5x
Moving stop-loss after floating profit
Avoiding 3-5 AM (liquidity low point)
Current Strategy Suggestions:
Maintain 50% cash position
30% funds allocated to mainstream coin spot
20% funds waiting for breakout opportunities
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