As of June 11, 2025, the situation in the crypto market is characterized by the following key trends and events:
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### 🚀 Bitcoin (BTC): consolidation at historical highs
1. Price levels and dynamics:
- BTC is trading around $109,000–109,700, facing resistance in the $110,000–111,000 zone.
- A historical record has been set: the price has held above $100,000 for 30 consecutive days, confirming the strength of this level as psychological support.
- Technical indicators (MACD, volumes) signal a short-term correction to $108,000–106,500, but the long-term trend remains bullish with targets at $113,000–130,000.
2. Fundamental drivers:
- Growth is supported by institutional capital inflow through ETFs and macroeconomic stabilization.
- The total market capitalization of the crypto market has reached $3.41 trillion, while the BTC share has decreased to 63.7% (growth of altcoins).
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### 🐕 Altcoins: mixed signals
- Dogecoin (DOGE):
- Consolidating in the range of $0.188–0.195 after an 8% rise from the minimum ($0.176).
- Key resistance — $0.203 (Fibonacci level 0.382). Breaking this will open the way to $0.213–0.224.
- Oscillators (RSI, MACD) show weak momentum, increasing the risks of a pullback to $0.181–0.172 upon losing $0.188.
- Risks for altcoins:
- In the coming days, token unlocks (IMX, STRK, ZK) are expected, which may increase volatility.
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### 💼 External factors and events on June 11
1. Macro economy:
- 15:30 MSK: publication of the US consumer price index (CPI). Exceeding forecasts will strengthen the dollar (USD), which will put pressure on the crypto market.
- 17:00 MSK: consideration of a bill on regulating the crypto market in the USA. Adoption of positive norms may become a catalyst for growth.
- Dollar background: in the morning, USD is weak, but a local strengthening is expected by 15:30.
2. Seasonal trends:
- According to analysts, the probability of closing the day below the opening for BTC is 53%, indicating the risks of a short-term correction.
- The NASDAQ index (correlating with BTC) also has a 53% chance of growth, but it depends on the reaction to CPI data.
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### 🔮 Forecast for the next 24 hours
- ✅ Optimistic scenario:
Breaking BTC resistance at $110,100 will initiate a move to $111,000–113,000. For DOGE, overcoming $0.195 will open the way to $0.203.
- ⚠️ Correction scenario:
In the case of negative CPI data, BTC may drop to the range of $106,500–108,000, DOGE — to $0.181–0.172.
- Key signals to monitor:
- Reaction to the US CPI at 15:30 and regulatory news.
- Trading volumes: declining volumes during BTC growth confirm the risks of a correction.
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### 💎 Conclusion
The market maintains a long-term bullish trend due to institutional demand, but on June 11, increased volatility is likely due to macro statistics and regulatory events. Traders should pay attention to the levels of $110,000 for BTC and $0.195 for DOGE as signals for continued growth. Meanwhile, a strengthening USD after 15:30 MSK may trigger short-term sell-offs.