2025-07-29

⚠️ For reference only, not investment advice.

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ETH/U 1-Hour Chart — Short Position Perspective Analysis

Today's movement can be summed up in one sentence: a rebound is not a reversal; the bears are not dead yet, we will continue to wait for opportunities to act.

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Current situation summarized:

• The price just surged up, reaching a high of 3,888U, but couldn't stabilize and started to consolidate.

• Now stuck around 3,820U, with heavy pressure above, like being pressed under a pot lid.

• MACD just turned positive, but momentum hasn't expanded, the bulls seem a bit weak.

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My short position logic 👇

Item Content

Opening Position I’m eyeing the range of 3,822–3,830U, “weak rebound is an opportunity.”

Stop Loss Set above 3,888U; whoever breaks through is strong, I’ll admit defeat and exit.

Take Profit Target First aim for 3,793U, then further down to target 3,740U.

Risk-Reward Ratio About 1:3, reasonable, worth doing.

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Practical Advice

• In this market, the bulls are like someone who took a sip of water, just catching their breath; if they were really strong, they should've pierced through 3,888U long ago.

• So, let's not rush our short positions; don’t fear missing a momentary opportunity, just be cautious of getting caught in a reversal.

• As long as we manage our stop loss well, let the profits run, and don’t interfere unnecessarily.

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Final summary:

This short position, to put it plainly: rebounding to the target, exhausted, and then crashing back down, we just collect our profits and exit. If the pressure above breaks, I’ll bail; admitting defeat isn’t shameful; survival is what makes money.

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