Data Analysis:
According to the current liquidation map, the market is currently dominated by bulls. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $105,700, if the market rises again to around $107,700, the estimated cumulative liquidatable short position amount is about $1.4 billion. Conversely, if the market drops to around $103,700, the estimated cumulative liquidatable long position amount is about $685 million.
In the Bitcoin ETF institutions, it can be seen that funds were flowing out yesterday, with a total net outflow of about $90 million.
Market Viewpoint:
Market Direction: Short-term bullish. From the current market trend, it is not difficult to see that the 4H chart is still mainly in a consolidation phase. However, from the daily chart perspective, the market trend could rise again, especially for Ethereum. Ethereum's 4H chart has broken out of the consolidation range and has risen somewhat, but the daily chart for Ethereum is still in a consolidation phase. Looking at the recent trends for Ethereum, it remains relatively strong and resilient to declines.
I personally believe that if the market can maintain this consolidation, Ethereum still has a chance to establish an independent trend. This week, the main focus will be on non-farm payroll data and news related to Trump.
Daily Analysis:
BTC short-term focus on the lower level around 103,500, upper short-term focus around 107,500.
ETH short-term focus on the lower level around 2,530, upper short-term focus around 2,680.
SOL short-term focus on the lower level around 152, upper short-term focus around 162.
Contract Strategy:
BTC suggests going long if it drops to around 104,000 \ buying on dips.
Take profit at 105,500 106,500 107,500; stop loss at 103,000.
Conversely, suggest going short if it rises to around 107,000 \ selling on rallies.
Take profit at 105,500 104,500 103,500; stop loss at 108,000.
ETH suggests going long if it drops to around 2,550 \ buying on dips.
Take profit at 2,600 2,650 2,680; stop loss at 2,500.
SOL suggests going long if it drops to around 152 \ buying on dips.
Take profit at 155 160 162; stop loss around 150.
Conversely, suggest going short if it rises to around 162 \ selling on rallies.
Take profit at 158 155 152; stop loss at 165.
Friendly Reminder:
Maintain light positions with low leverage. This contract strategy is suitable for short-term traders. Please remember to take profits in a timely manner and set stop losses based on personal positions. Do not be greedy; secure your profits. It’s better to incur a small loss than to hold on to losing positions! If the market direction is correct, you can choose to continue holding.