Data Analysis:
According to the current liquidation map, the market is dominated by bearish forces. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $104,600, if the market fluctuates up and down by $2,000, rising again to around $106,600, the total estimated liquidatable bearish amount is about $1.78 billion. Conversely, if the market drops to around $102,600, the estimated liquidatable bullish amount is about $1.4 billion.
The net outflow amount for Bitcoin spot ETF yesterday was $6.3 million, and the net inflow amount for Ethereum spot ETF yesterday was $4 million.
Market Outlook:
Market Direction: Short-term consolidation. From the current market trend, the 4-hour chart is still primarily in a consolidation phase, and Ethereum is also following a similar pattern with little fluctuation. Additionally, the U.S. interest rate decision met market expectations, maintaining the status quo, and Powell's speech content was not much different from previous remarks, leading to a general market reaction. Therefore, based on the market trend, I believe we should pay more attention to the developments in the Israel-Palestine situation and patiently wait for a true market reversal. During this time, there are unstable factors at play, so the strategy should mainly focus on short-term/volatility trading.
Daily Analysis:
BTC short-term focus below around 103,000, short-term focus above around 106,500.
ETH short-term focus below around 2,460, short-term focus above around 2,600.
SOL short-term focus below around 142, short-term focus above around 150.
Contract Strategy:
BTC suggested to short when rising to around 106,000/short on rallies.
Take profit at 105,000, 104,000, 103,000; stop loss at 107,500.
Conversely, suggested to long when dropping near 103,500/long on dips.
Take profit at 104,500, 105,500, 106,500; stop loss at 102,500.
ETH suggested to short when rising to around 2,570/short on rallies.
Take profit at 2,520, 2,480, 2,460; stop loss at 2,600.
Conversely, suggested to long when dropping near 2,480/long on dips.
Take profit at 2,520, 2,540, 2,560; stop loss at 2,440.
SOL suggested to short when rising to around 150/short on rallies.
Take profit at 147, 144, 142; stop loss at 153.
Conversely, suggested to long when dropping to around 143/long on dips.
Take profit at 146, 148, 150; stop loss at 140.
Friendly Reminder:
Keep positions light and leverage low. This contract strategy is suitable for short-term traders. Please remember to take profits in a timely manner and set stop losses based on personal positions. Don't be greedy; securing profits is key. It’s better to take a small loss than to hold onto losing positions! If the market direction is correct, you can choose to continue holding.