💠Win rate and odds

Win rate and odds are very common two-dimensional indicators.

Winning rate refers to the probability of making money. There is no doubt that the coin with the highest winning rate is $BTC, but it is obvious that BTC is now at 105,000 US dollars. It is estimated that it will at most double in this round, and the profit may not be much.

The ratio of making money is the odds. MEME is obviously a high-odds project, and there are hundreds of times the chance of appearing on the chain. However, you may rush to buy hundreds of local dogs on the chain, but you may not encounter a 100-fold coin.

Therefore, investors often discuss how to choose investment targets to obtain an ideal combination of winning rate and odds.

One of the methods is the barbell principle. A teacher that Feng Xiong likes very much, Crypto Zen Master, an investor who is well versed in human nature, chose this investment method. On the one hand, he has a heavy position in BTC, and on the other hand, he uses part of the funds to rush to the chain. BTC is a stable income with a high winning rate, and the chain brings him explosive opportunities.

Another way to invest is to choose some high-quality mainstream coins, such as $XRP, $WCT, and of course $KAITO. The winning rate of this type of token is slightly lower than BTC, but the odds are higher; the odds are lower than the on-chain local dog, but the winning rate is higher.

💠Frequency

The winning rate and odds are actually a two-dimensional and relatively static indicator system that lacks dynamic factors.

Even if pure MEMEs have exploded, it is difficult for them to have a sustained narrative. For example, after the squirrel incident faded, almost no one mentioned this MEME coin.

But in comparison, the MEME coin $TRUMP may have some subsequent expectations as Trump himself performs. Of course, this expectation includes both positive and negative factors, but the $TRUMP token will fluctuate at a certain frequency on the timeline.

Take $Parti as an example. Why $Parti? Of course, it’s because I have it!

On the other hand, because $Parti is a special coin, it is a DAPP and also a chain abstract infrastructure. If it is Layer1 or Layer2, this kind of project will have a certain frequency of benefits in technology and ecology, and everyone should be more familiar with it, but#ParticleThis kind of chain abstract infrastructure may not be very familiar to everyone.

#particle is an infrastructure layer that connects many blockchains. Users can participate in applications on this infrastructure without having to consider which specific chain they are on. Therefore, various applications based on Particle can be gradually launched, so it is actually similar to Layer 1 or Layer 2, and will continue to release benefits at a certain frequency in the future.

Of course, there is a slight difference between $Parti and public chain coins. In the Layer 1 or Layer 2 public chain ecosystem, there will be trading pairs based on public chain coins, which makes public chain coins have a large demand scenario.

However, $Parti has other application scenarios. The first product of the Particle chain is UniversalX, which is a toC product. Users can use it to trade assets on various chains, and $Parti can be used to pay transaction fees. At the beginning, UniversalX only supported market price transactions, but now it has launched market price transactions and also supports users to manually set some strategies such as doubling the principal when purchasing, and this strategy supports customization.


✦These optimizations of UniversalX functions will bring certain frequency benefits to $Parti.

The first product of the Particle chain is the universal account. You may think that the universal account is a universal account that everyone has without distinguishing a specific chain. But in fact, the universal account is more of a toB product, or it can also be considered a BtoC product. Other applications can access the Particle universal account, and then they can connect to the users of the Particle ecosystem. Users can directly access and use their own funds in the Particle ecosystem to participate.

For example, MYX is the latest to be connected to the Particle universal account. MYX is a multi-chain perpetual futures DEX. Brother Feng can switch to the universal account mode and use his own funds in Particle to play contracts. So Brother Feng can now trade mainstream coins on Particle, buy on-chain local currencies, and play perpetual futures.

✦Inflation accounts can be connected to more applications in the future, which will also bring indirect benefits to $Parti at a certain frequency.

✦As a chain abstract infrastructure, Particle itself will continue to make progress in technology, and will also bring indirect benefits to $Parti at a certain frequency.


💠Written at the end

The frequency with which a project releases favorable news in the future is a dynamic indicator, and the market’s expectations for this frequency indicator will be reflected in the winning rate and odds.

However, there may be some differences between market expectations and the frequency with which projects will release favorable news in the future.

$Parti will benefit from the optimization of its DEX products, the ecological expansion of Particle universal accounts, and the advancement of Particle technology, and will receive certain benefits in the future. However, the market's understanding of $Parti is still limited to UniversalX, and even the understanding of Particle universal accounts is not much.

The market’s understanding of $Parti’s technology and products deviates, and these are differences in frequency expectations, which may affect future investment odds.