【$eth】2025.5.29

①Please refer to the analysis specifically for $eth on May 27th, that is, the day before yesterday, where point ③ mentions that if this wave is a valid rebound, then the future target will at least see 2785 and above. This morning at 10:30, it reached a maximum of 2788. So this round of rebound has basically been completely predicted and captured. This is not just talk; let's look at the analysis from that day. Point ② clearly states that since it could be a rebound, the price will not turn back to pick up people. If we want to continue rising, a shallow adjustment would be between 【2595-2610】, while a deeper one would be 【2560-2570】, but that would turn it back into a fluctuation market. In fact, yesterday's lowest price only came down to around 2608.

②Okay, now the question is, can it still rise? This round of rebound has reached my expectations, and if we want to continue to push up, we need to break through and stabilize above 2740. Otherwise, it will inevitably lead to $btc making another adjustment, and then we can talk about rising or rebounding again. Therefore, today's trend for $eth is very critical. If it drops instead of rising, effectively breaking below 2670 would likely lead to $btc going through an adjustment, at which time, $btc is estimated to have dropped back to around 107000.

③$eth needs to break 2740 to have the qualification for sustained upward movement, and the pressure above is near the previous high. If the price breaks the previous high, where can we see? If it effectively breaks 2790, we can see around 2870. However, at 2790, we cannot rule out the possibility of a false breakout, followed by a pullback.

In summary, since the price has reached a new high again, blindly being bullish may be somewhat unrealistic. For the coming days, we need to focus more on risk prevention. Of course, there’s no rush in these two days. Keep following my thoughts, and feel free to ask if you don’t understand; we'll take it step by step. #交易类型入门 #美国加征关税 #比特币2025大会