The popularity of Bitcoin is skyrocketing, with many saying it could reach $200,000 this year! But amidst this hype, do you really understand the true potential of Bitcoin and Ethereum? From market data, Bitcoin, as 'digital gold', continues to see institutional inflows, with ETF net inflows exceeding $42.4 billion. Expectations from the Trump administration's policies have also added to its imaginative space, with analysts predicting it could even touch $249,000 by 2025. In contrast, Ethereum, although it recently saw a remarkable 40% surge over three days due to the Pectra upgrade, faced renewed inflationary pressures after the Dencun upgrade, compounded by a net outflow of $465 million from Ethereum ETFs, facing significant short-term pressure.

To exchange or not? It depends on three key points:

1. Trend Comparison: Bitcoin's market value is expected to reach $4.5 trillion by 2025, accounting for a quarter of the gold market, while Ethereum's average price forecast for 2025 is only $1,767, showing a significant lag in growth potential.

2. Risk Control: Bitcoin has recently been fluctuating around $110,000; although there is a risk of correction, the support level remains solid. Ethereum, after breaking $2,700, still needs to confirm whether it can hold the $2,800 level, with potentially more severe short-term volatility.

3. Policy Dividends: During the Bitcoin conference, Vice President Vance and Trump's son delivered speeches that sent positive signals, while Ethereum's technical upgrades, although beneficial in the long term, are unlikely to change market sentiment in the short term.

Conclusion: If you seek high certainty and stable long-term returns, exchanging Ethereum for Bitcoin now is a more advantageous choice. However, be sure to note: the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile within 24 hours, so it is advisable to operate in batches and retain some positions to manage risk. Click to follow for real-time market analysis, share your views in the comments, and forward to friends who need to avoid pitfalls!