Markets reeled as Trump’s surprise 50% EU tariff proposal shattered weeks of calm, but bitcoin’s steady rebound—bolstered by record institutional inflows—signaled crypto’s emerging role as a haven in an era of policy chaos, according to QCP Capital’s latest analysis.

Bitcoin Resilience Contrasts With Tech Equity Weakness Amid Policy Shifts, QCP Analysis Says

Global risk sentiment swung sharply this week after U.S. President Donald Trump proposed a 50% tariff on EU goods, upending a months-long rally in equities and reigniting policy uncertainty, according to a QCP report published May 26. Despite the turbulence, the firm’s researchers highlighted bitcoin’s resilience, noting its “grown-up” role in an increasingly erratic macroeconomic landscape.

The QCP report detailed how Trump’s tariff announcement last week abruptly reversed a period of declining market volatility, with the S&P 500 nearing the 6,000 level before the news sparked a risk-asset selloff. Markets partially recovered after Trump extended the tariff implementation deadline to July 9, QCP noted, but the episode pointed out the fragility of recent gains.

European equities and U.S. futures opened higher Monday, though analysts at the firm warned the reprieve could be temporary. QCP emphasized that the swift compression of the BTC July-to-June volatility spread — from over 2 vols to under 1 — signals investor anticipation of further policy shifts ahead of the new deadline. “The market may be pricing in another policy pivot,” the report stated, suggesting traders are hedging against renewed chaos.

Inflation remains a critical focus, with Friday’s U.S. PCE print poised to influence Federal Reserve policy, QCP researchers added. While oil prices have retreated, escalating port congestion in Europe — now spreading to Asia and the U.S. — threatens to elevate shipping costs and reignite indirect inflationary pressures.

Bitcoin’s weekend dip to $106,000 and subsequent rebound back to the $110,000 range reflects strong institutional demand, QCP highlighted. Blackrock’s spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), IBIT, recorded 30 straight days of net inflows, highlighting deepening institutional participation. The inflows are structural, not speculative, the researchers asserted, stating:

IBIT has now logged 30 consecutive days of net inflows, reinforcing the growing institutional foothold in digital assets.

Notably, QCP observed a growing divergence between crypto and tech equities: The TQQQ Nasdaq ETF has seen sustained outflows since April despite broader equity strength, while digital assets attract steady capital. This rotation suggests investors view crypto as both a hedge and a standalone opportunity, the firm said.

“In a world of erratic policymaking, crypto increasingly looks like the grown-up at the table,” QCP concluded, framing bitcoin’s stability amid geopolitical and economic crosscurrents as a marker of its maturation. The analysis reinforces crypto’s evolving role in global portfolios as traditional assets face heightened policy risks.

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