The current unrealized profit indicator for Short-Term Holders holding coins for 1 to 3 months is 27%. Over the past 4 years, when this metric rose above 40%, the cohort began selling coins - this created strong price pressure.

1. Current NUPL (Short-Term Holders, 1–3 m): 27%

2. Critical threshold: 40% (historically, cohorts begin taking profits here, exerting downward pressure)

3. Growth rate: ≈ 0.818 percentage points/day

4. Required increase: 40%−27% = 13 percentage points

5. Time to threshold: 13 p.p. / 0.818 p.p. per day ≈ 16 days

6. Projected date: June 11, 2025

7. Bitcoin price forecast:  ≈ 162K USD

Forecast assumes linear extrapolation and does not account for potential “black swans” or sudden POTUS tweets. #MarketRebound #BTC