Ethereum (ETH/USDT) 2-hour Trend Analysis (May 20, 2025)

Current Data Overview

  • Latest Price: 2538.40 USDT (Increase of 0.45%)

  • Intraday Fluctuation: Opening 2558.05, High 2550.51, Low 2533.44, Closing 2538.40, Decrease of -0.77% (Volatility 1.06%).

  • Technical Indicators:

    • BOLL (20,2): Middle track 2468.01, Upper track 2589.47, Lower track 2346.56. The current price is close to the middle track, not breaking the upper track resistance.

    • MACD (12,26,9): DIF (16.09) > DEA (1.68), MACD bar (28.81) shows bullish momentum.

    • Trading Volume: 1,278,225.95, MA(5) average volume 3,618,673.41, indicating a contraction in short-term trading volume.

Key Trend Analysis

  1. Price Position:

    • The current price is between the middle track (2468) and the upper track (2589) of BOLL, with a short-term neutral to bullish bias.

    • The intraday high of 2550.51 failed to break yesterday's resistance, attention is needed on the breakout situation in the 2550-2589 range.

  2. MACD Indicator:

    • Both DIF and DEA are positive and diverging upwards, but the MACD bar has shortened compared to the previous day, indicating a slight weakening of bullish momentum.

  3. Trading Volume:

    • The current trading volume is below the 5-day average volume, indicating insufficient market participation, and caution is needed against false breakouts.

  4. Support and Resistance:

    • Support: BOLL middle track 2468, intraday low 2533.

    • Resistance: 2550 (intraday high), BOLL upper track 2589.

Operational Advice

  1. Short-term (2-4 hours):

    • Long positions conditions: If the price breaks above 2550 with increased volume and the MACD bar expands again, a small position can be added with a target of 2589, stop-loss below 2533. If it stabilizes around the BOLL middle track 2468, it can be accumulated in batches.

  2. Risk Warning:

    • The current volatility is only 1.06%, with low volatility, caution is needed for sudden changes.

    • Pay attention to BTC correlation (BTC intraday -0.11%), if BTC drops, it may drag ETH down.

Currently, ETH is in a neutral to bullish consolidation, waiting for clear breakout signals. The short term suggests high selling and low buying within the range, while the medium term waits for support at 2468 or a breakout above 2589 to follow up. Strict stop-loss!



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