According to BlockBeats, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, expressed concerns about the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts during an event on Tuesday. Dalio emphasized that the Fed is in a challenging position and should avoid lowering interest rates, as it is not a suitable monetary policy choice at present. He highlighted the significant uncertainty and deteriorating market sentiment, although the real economy has not shown substantial issues, making the Fed's situation particularly difficult.
Dalio noted that political factors could influence future monetary policy, especially if a new Fed chair takes office, potentially favoring economic stimulus through rate cuts. He explained that high debt levels increase pressure to reduce rates, easing debt repayment burdens. However, lowering rates diminishes asset returns, creating a contradiction in currency value. Dalio warned that aggressive or inappropriate rate cuts could negatively impact the bond market, steepen the yield curve, devalue the dollar, and increase gold prices, reflecting a market shift away from bonds due to currency value concerns.
This week, key Fed officials indicated that rates might remain unchanged until at least September. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic predicted only one rate cut this year. Investors currently see less than a 10% chance of a rate cut at the June FOMC meeting and expect only two cuts of 25 basis points each this year, down from four cuts anticipated at the end of April.