BTC whale holds 15,000 coins in secret, will there be a surge or a crash tonight before the calm before the storm? The BTC long-short game enters a critical time window! Remember, bull markets have more crashes, bear markets have more spikes, manage your stop-loss and observe; staying alive is key to buying the dip!
Brothers, today’s market is giving me chills! The 5-minute candlestick pattern is more tangled than an old lady knitting.
1. MACD Golden Cross Underwater: Are the bulls sneaking up or is it a trap for the bulls?
Right now, the MACD indicator is pulling off a “miraculous comeback”—DIF and DEA, these two struggling brothers, are still lying below the zero axis, but DIF has quietly crossed above DEA, and the histogram is turning red.
But don’t rush! Let’s take a look at the on-chain data; CryptoQuant just revealed that a whale address transferred 15,000 BTC to exchanges within three hours, clearly indicating that a big player is lurking to sell at the rebound high.
2. Trading Volume Plays the 'Empty City Strategy': Who is the market waiting for to charge?
Today’s trading volume is extremely quiet, even quieter than a weekend market! The actual trading volume (2.6 billion) hasn’t even touched the estimate (4.8 billion), showing that retail and institutions are playing dead.
What’s even worse is that the funding rate for BTC perpetual contracts on Binance has dropped to -0.018%, and shorts are actually starting to pay to sell off; this is a definite extreme sentiment signal.
3. Moving Averages Pressing Down Like Stacking Blocks!
Look at this arrangement of moving averages; MA5 and MA10 are directly covering a mountain in the sky, and the price isn’t even touching MA5. What’s more intriguing is that the 4-hour MA30 and MA60 have already crossed downwards, indicating that the medium to short-term trend is clearly under bearish control.
However, there’s an interesting detail on-chain—the Bitcoin miner holding index has surged by 20% within a week; these “stingy chickens” have surprisingly started to hoard! Historical experience shows that miners hoarding often occurs in phased bottom areas, but with the current moving average pressure, do you dare to believe this is the bottom?
I am Brother Yuan, supported by a top team, serving only those with vision and ambition!