Old friends, good morning ☀️
In recent days of divination, it has been found that the accuracy of predictions is directly related to the online data of exchanges, so future analyses will be conducted at the 4-hour level.
May 16, 2025, 08:00-12:00 (Beijing Time)
Time of prediction: 08:10 (Chen hour) | Current price: 103,798.4 USDT
- On the day of Bingwu, the fire is strong, and the earth at the hour of Chen generates gold. The Bitcoin (Xinjin) suppression coefficient = 0.7 → Fire and earth game, short-term fluctuations intensify.
- Mars sextile Uranus (PCI=1.05) overlaps with the Moon Sea's punishment (phase angle 93°) → Volatility increases to ±3.8%.
| Chen hour | Xun Fourth Palace | Du Gate + Tian Fu Star | Resistance 104,500 | Technical Suppression |
| Si hour | Li Ninth Palace | Jing Gate + Tian Ying Star | Pressure 105,200 | Retail Investors Chase Up |
| Chen hour | Kun Second Palace | Dead Gate + Tian Rui Star | Support 102,800 | Liquidity Crisis |
- The last three digits of the price are 798 → 7+9+8=24 → Thunder Fire Feng hexagram (Zhen above, Li below), moving the 94th line → Changing hexagram **Earth Fire Mingyi**.
- Hexagram interpretation:
- Feng hexagram 94: 'Abundant its cover, day in the middle sees the fight' → Illusion of market prosperity, beware of high position reversal.
- Mingyi hexagram: 'Brightness enters the earth' → If it breaks key support, a deep correction will occur.
Precise prediction by time segments:
| Time window | Price range | Increase/Decrease | Close bearish/bullish | Probability | Key actions
| 08:00-10:00 | 103,500 - 104,500 | +0.7% | False breakout closes in the green | 65% | Partial take profit at 104,300, stop loss at 103,200 |
| 10:00-12:00 | 102,800 - 103,900 | -0.9% | Long lower shadow bearish line | 70% | Break below 103,000 to short, target 102,300 |
Comprehensive conclusion
1. High pullback **: Chen hour Xun Palace Du Gate suppression + Feng hexagram 'Day in the middle sees the fight' suggests false prosperity, testing a high of 104,500 before pulling back, ultimately closing in the range of 103,200-103,800 (compared to the current price -0.6%~+0.02%).
- Critical support: EMA(50)=102,087.2 and the golden ratio level 103,121.6 form a resonance zone. If broken, a weekly-level correction begins.
2. Black swan scenario:
- Pessimistic path (PCI>1.1 + double Dead Gate): Minimum drop to 101,500 (-2.2%), triggering a red circuit breaker.
- Extreme short squeeze (WAE>0.8 + Mingyi hexagram reversal): If it breaks through 105,200 (+1.4%), short-sellers' liquidation triggers a short squeeze.
