Major data released! The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates may increase, what impact will it have on the cryptocurrency market?
The recently released PPI data sends a significant signal:
1️⃣ Inflation cooling confirmed: Both the year-on-year and month-on-month PPI have declined, and the core PPI is also lower, which is a solid sign of deflation!
2️⃣ Expectations for interest rate cuts rising: Although the current CME shows that the probability of not cutting interest rates in July is still 63.3%, this unexpectedly cooling PPI data is likely to increase the probability of rate cuts.
3️⃣ Retail data slight surprise: A 0.1% growth, while not high, is better than the market expectation of 0%, which is an additional positive.
【Market Impact Analysis】
Bitcoin reacts positively, indicating that funds are sensitive to favorable data.
US stocks remain on hold for now, further observation is needed.
Note: Tariff policy remains a key variable in the Federal Reserve's considerations.
【Operational Suggestions】
Now is not the time to go all in, but you can start:
✓ Gradually position in preferred targets.
✓ Closely monitor the PCE data at the end of the month.
✓ Be wary of the market's "buy on expectation, sell on fact" routine.
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