May 15th ETH Market Life and Death Game:

$ETH $BTC Ethereum's recent surge and subsequent drop has directly shattered market sentiment. In a five-minute timeframe, it plummeted from $2646 to $2565, with the MACD showing a deadly cross below the waterline that looks as sharp as scissors, indicating that the market maker is violently washing the positions at a critical point. On-chain monitoring detected a giant whale dumping 28,000 ETH into Binance three hours ago, coinciding with the perpetual contract funding rate soaring to -0.023%, showing that the short army is clearly ambushing in advance.

1. Technical Bloody Game

The RSI on the four-hour chart has fallen to 38.7, entering the oversold zone, but if the weekly support at 2550 is broken, a chain liquidation could instantly drag the price down to the abyss of 2450. The daily chart shows a shooting star hanging high, with the KDJ dead cross diving down, a formation that typically indicates at least a $200 level correction. Worse still, the ETH/BTC exchange rate is stuck at the critical line of 0.024; if it gets smashed back below 0.02, the altcoin season will be declared over.

2. Tonight's Three Major Nuclear Warnings

20:30 US PPI Data: If the previous month's rate of 0.2% dares to soar above 0.5%, the expectations for Fed rate cuts will go ice cold, and the linkage with US stocks could kick ETH down below 2500.

Early morning Fed meeting minutes: If keywords like “sticky inflation” or “delayed rate cuts” appear, the market will immediately enter a bloodbath mode.

Ethereum ETF final review countdown: If the SEC continues to delay, the institutional selling ammunition is already in place—Grayscale's ETHE fund premium rate is down to just 12%, and these guys are waiting to unload.

3. Market Maker's Hidden Cards Revealed

On-chain data shows that there are stop-loss orders valued at $420 million piled up in the 2550-2580 range; the market maker will definitely kill this batch of stop-losses before rallying. Fresh players, remember, add 10% to your position for every $50 drop below 2550, and keep the total position under 50%. Friendly traders should watch the 2600 round number; if it breaks through here with volume on the five-minute chart, we could see a rebound to 2650, but if it gets pushed back by the middle line, go short directly, with a stop-loss of $50 sufficient to take profits. #币安Alpha上新 #美国加密立法 #山寨币交易 #贸易战缓和

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