Core Data Interpretation
1. Extreme Gain: 24-hour increase of nearly 25%, RSI reaches 96.51 (severely overbought), historical experience indicates that such rapid increases are likely to result in technical pullbacks.
2. Leverage Sentiment:
- The leverage long-short ratio soared from 12.31 to 16.21 within 24 hours (extreme bullish dominance)
- The growth rate of borrowing and lending stock has surged significantly at the end, indicating an accelerated inflow of leveraged capital
3. Capital Trends:
- Large net inflow of 153,024 ETH (main capital supports the rise)
- Order buy-sell ratio 29.57%:70.43% (significant short-term selling pressure)
4. Technical Structure:
- Price has broken through all moving averages (MA7/25/99 in bullish arrangement)
- MACD golden cross continues but the histogram shows decreasing volume (signs of weakening upward momentum)
- The previous high of 2490 USD forms a short-term resistance level
Operation Suggestions
Short-term (1-3 days):
- 🚫 Be cautious with long positions: Although the trend is upward, RSI is overbought + leverage bullish congestion has reached a dangerous level, profit-taking may occur near the previous high of 2490.
- ⚠️ Do not open short positions for now: Large capital inflow continues + MACD has not shown a top divergence, the risk of counter-trend shorting is extremely high.
- 📉 Wait for a pullback: Focus on the support range of 2350-2380, if it retraces without breaking, a light position can be tried for longs.
