#交易故事 #策略交易

A strict implementation of the ETH swing trading strategy

Recently, I executed an ETH trade based on the "breakthrough pullback" strategy, achieving an 18% return while strictly controlling risk. This trade perfectly validated my trading system, and I share it for everyone's reference.

1. Strategy Background

My trading system consists of three core elements:

1) Breakthrough confirmation at key levels (must close firmly for 4 consecutive hours)

2) Volume verification (volume must increase to 1.5 times the average at the time of the breakthrough)

3) Stop-loss discipline (fixed 3% stop-loss, dynamic take profit)

2. Trade Execution

- May 12: ETH broke through the $3,200 resistance level, and the 4-hour chart closed with three consecutive bullish candles, while the volume reached 1.8 times the 30-day average

- Position opening: Bought 20 ETH at $3,210 (total position approximately 15%)

- Stop-loss setting: $3,110 (below previous low support)

- Position management:

• First target $3,500 (reduce position by 50%)

• Second target $3,800 (move stop-loss to breakeven)

• Final $4,000 (fully close)

3. Market Verification

After the breakthrough, ETH rose as expected, but on May 15 it encountered resistance at $3,600:

- On-chain data: Whale addresses continued to transfer to exchanges in the $3,550-3,600 range

- Derivatives signal: Perpetual contract funding rate reached 0.15%/8h (overheated)

- Decision: Preemptively closed 80% at $3,580, retaining 20% of the position for observation

4. Results and Reflection

- Actual return: Sold at an average price of $3,520, return rate 18%

- Key takeaways:

1) Breakthrough strategies work best in trending markets

2) Combining on-chain data can avoid "false breakout" traps

3) Dynamic take profit is more adaptable to market fluctuations than fixed targets

This trade once again proves: good strategy + strict execution > blindly chasing highs and killing lows. Now, I am waiting for ETH to pull back to around $3,300, preparing for the next entry opportunity that aligns with the strategy.