[Urgent Warning] The crypto space is about to face a major shakeup! Double bearish news is coming this Wednesday; everyone must be alert! The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to be announced—will this be a lifeline or a deadly poison? Key data has already provided clear signals! The Ethereum upgrade countdown is on, and smart money is quietly retreating! Bitcoin mining difficulty has plummeted; what secrets lie behind this?
Attention! The Federal Reserve may trigger a market nuclear bomb early Thursday morning, completely cooling the expectations for a June rate cut. Is there still hope for a bull market?
Bitcoin ETF is crazily attracting funds, reaching a historic high. Is it time to escape or a call to charge?
The Ethereum upgrade is entering the final 48 hours; how should ordinary investors respond? This must be clarified today!
First, let's talk about the main event—the Federal Reserve meeting, the judge of life and death in the global capital markets. Three key points from this meeting will directly determine the market's fate for the next six months:
1. Interest rate decision is set in stone: 100% maintain the current interest rate; the market has already digested this result, and it has no impact on the crypto space.
2. The most critical June rate cut indicator: the latest CME data shows that the probability of a June rate cut has plummeted from 68% to 31.8%, with the probability of no rate cut as high as 67%. Powell has a two-thirds chance of being hawkish tonight, with only a 30% chance of giving a sugar.
3. Economic Forecast Report: Focus on unemployment rates and inflation data, which directly determine when the Federal Reserve will step in to rescue the market.
I now clearly state: the short-term bearish outlook has basically been confirmed. What’s even scarier is if there’s no interest rate cut in June, the next window won’t be until the end of July. A two-month gap is enough for the market to bleed profusely, so we must prepare for the worst. I am currently liquidating my long positions to avoid risk; I'd rather miss a 5% rebound than lose my principal. Even if Powell suddenly turns dovish, it will be fine to enter the market after the June rate cut is confirmed; there’s no need to gamble with your life now.
Three danger signals have already been sounded:
- North America's largest mining company, Bitfarms, has announced a halt in purchasing mining machines and continues to sell off Bitcoin.
- The overall network computing power continues to decline, and more miners are cashing out and exiting.
- The mysterious whale "Spoofy" has been continuously selling off for two weeks around the $100,000 mark after bottoming out at $70,000 to $80,000, and is expected to clear its remaining positions within 10 days.
What’s even worse is the macro level: the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. has surged, and Trump, during an interview, has finally admitted that the economy may be heading for a recession. Even the most boastful politicians dare not guarantee that a crisis won’t happen; why should we believe that the market will keep rising?
Now for some good news to hedge: Wall Street funds are pouring into the Bitcoin ETF, with nine consecutive days of net inflows setting a 20-year record. But historical experience tells me that such a crazy surge must be followed by a sharp correction. Last weekend, I advised everyone to take profits on long positions at 97,000, which was a typical exit operation. Last week, I predicted the collapse of the Trump concept, leading everyone to short; looking back, it was a precise hit.
A key reminder about the Ethereum upgrade trap: the so-called major upgrade on May 7 has hardly attracted anyone's attention. I suggest taking advantage of the current rebound to gradually reduce positions. Right after the upgrade, we will immediately face the Federal Reserve's bomb; big funds are waiting for this nuclear bomb to drop.
The meme coin OZK suddenly surged 30% today, with the project party announcing major developments in May (token burn/mainnet launch/opening staking). My advice is clear: this kind of news-driven meme coin, when it rises, is an opportunity to sell off; don’t be foolishly waiting to catch the falling knife.
Finally, here’s a clear strategy: keep a close eye on two things—the timing of the whales' selling stop + the Federal Reserve's final stance on the June rate cut. Until the situation is clear, anyone betting on direction will be cannon fodder. If Powell hints at a June rate cut tonight (31% probability), I will consider re-entering some positions; if he remains stubborn and doesn’t loosen up, I will directly open short positions without discussion!
Remember: surviving in the midst of gunfire is the way to go. It’s always better to charge in after the market has clearly defined its direction than to be cannon fodder! What we need to do now is to load our bullets; after the Federal Reserve drops the bombs, we will follow the winning side to clean up the battlefield!
Recently, I plan to set up a position in a potential coin that is about to explode; doubling is quite simple, and expecting a space of more than ten times is definitely not a problem. If you want to follow along, just click on my profile picture and follow me for free sharing!
