黛玉说币

This ETH market makes me grind my back teeth!

The 5-minute chart is playing tricks in the tiny space of 1788-1819, with EMA12 and EMA26 forming a death cross at 1805, and the MACD bars shrinking to the thickness of a line, while the fast and slow lines have had four false golden crosses smashed down. It's clear that the manipulators are fishing for retail traders. On-chain data is even more horrifying—over at Lido, 28,000 ETH were just unlocked, and immediately on Arbitrum, a 47 million dollar short position popped up. I'm truly at a loss for words; institutions are sharpening their knives to cut down the bulls.

The limit orders expose the intentions of the manipulators: on Bitfinex, there are 15,000 ETH stacked in the coffin board at 1817-1822, while below 1775, there are three waves of thousand-unit test orders acting as bait. The futures market is a powder keg, with 5.6 billion dollars in open interest and 37% of that being 45x leverage. The OVX volatility has soared to 41; this is the rhythm of a last gamble at a casino.

The SEC has said not to expect an ETF before September, and BlackRock's document revision is purely to tease. The technicals are even worse, with a sell signal on the 4-hour TD sequence, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate crashing through the critical line at 0.053, as large funds clearly shift positions. This current triangular convergence is a slaughterhouse for the manipulators, with 320 million dollars worth of liquidation orders buried in the 1775-1822 range; breaking either side would lead to a bloodbath.

Spot traders should quickly lock in their positions and play dead, while futures gamblers should either place breakthrough orders at 1775 and 1822 to steal a profit or uninstall the trading software to keep their hands off. Remember, the manipulators are specifically targeting stop losses, and limit orders must maintain a 2% safety distance. Is four false MACD breakthroughs not enough education? Do you really want to offer up a fifth head?

Daiyu bluntly states: the longer a sideways market lasts in a bull market, the more violent the shift will be, but this time it's betting on a downward break. The L2 gas fee dropping to 3.1 Gwei is insignificant good news, combined with large unlocks + institutional shorts + the ETF negative triple hit, the manipulators' scythe is already raised to the neck. Don't try to be a hero at this moment; surviving the volatility phase is the real skill!

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$ETH $BTC
#币安HODLer空投SIGN #币安Alpha上新

【$ARDR Blood Wash Full Record】5-minute K-line performance high platform diving, plummeting from 0.15199 to 0.13414 in a waterfall-like drop, a single 57,000 piece level explosive bearish candle directly breaks through the three defensive lines of MA5/MA10/MA30. The market has completely turned bearish, with the MA10 dead cross accelerating down to 0.1345, and on-chain monitoring shows that net outflow of main funds reached 380 BTC, which is a typical institutional dumping tactic.

Technical Analysis: All short-term moving averages are diving down at a 45-degree angle, MACD has a second dead cross below the zero axis, and under this structure, all rebounds are escape opportunities. The so-called 0.133-0.132 support zone shows no resistance in the face of sustained volume, and breaking 0.13 has become a foregone conclusion. The order book at 0.14000 is stacked with sell walls equivalent to three days of trading volume, and the rebound cannot even hold 0.13600, with the downtrend mode already initiated.

Whale dumping ignites panic: On-chain evidence shows that a top exchange-related address concentrated on selling 17.2 million ARDR during the Asian early session, triggering a follow-up sell-off. Combined with the project team not updating the mainnet progress according to the roadmap, the contract long-short ratio instantly soared to 4.2:1, and the whale accurately exploded 3.8 million dollars in long positions, this market will chop off any reckless hands.

【Survival Guide】Delete the spot trading app to avoid impulsive trading, and strictly set a stop-loss line at 0.13500 for contracts. A rebound from an oversold condition must wait for the four-hour line to stabilize above MA5 and for the volume to shrink to the current 1/3, but if the Nasdaq crashes during the night trading session, it is highly likely to break the strong support at 0.1280.

Remember: In a bear market, do not speak of bottoms, and do not test the harvester's scythe with your own body.

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$ARDR $BTC
#币安HODLer空投SIGN #加密市场反弹

$ALPACA Rapid Report: Violent Surge, Bulls and Bears Battle at 0.216 Height

ALPACA's five-minute chart shot up to 0.19794, just a step away from the previous high of 0.216, with a daily increase of 3.95% taking off along the five-day moving average, and the yellow, white, and purple lines indicating a standard bullish formation. Coupled with the positive news on Layer2 expansion, the main force is clearly attracting attention, but the 5.43% fluctuation exposes the risk of loosening chips.

The red three soldiers candlestick pattern appears strong, but the MACD red bars shortening diverges from the price, which is a solid proof. The MA10 moving average's support strength at 0.19570 is diminishing, while 0.216 is pressing against a wall of 20 million sell orders, and the support below at 0.195 is as thin as a cicada's wing, with clear signs of a dog trader placing fake orders to fish. This kind of volume-price divergence market is likely to bury both bulls and bears.

​​
OKX contract positions soared to 20.2M, setting a monthly peak, yet the funding rate is inverted at -0.03%, clearly indicating that bears are setting up a pocket formation in the 0.20-0.22 range. The resistance level at 0.216 has failed to breach three times, which will inevitably trigger a waterfall.

Spot trading suggests immediately cutting positions by 20% to preserve capital. Contract players remember that 0.195 is the lifeline; breaking this level must mean cutting losses, with the probability of a spike in the early morning rising above 70%.

​​Operations:
A true breakout at 0.216 must satisfy:
1. Trading volume explodes beyond the 100M mark.
2. A significant purchase order of 5 million dollars appears.

The old fox now has two strategies: the conservative side places a buy limit at 0.195 to wait for the bottom, while the aggressive side chases after a breakout at 0.216 to sell at 0.22. Brothers with full positions should at least reduce by half before 9 PM; once the Layer2 benefits are implemented, it signals a sell-off.

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$ALPACA $BTC
#币安HODLer空投SIGN #加密市场反弹

【Sideways Pain: Big Coin Plays Fake Breakout, Last Induction Before the Waterfall】

$BTC Five-minute chart stuck between 94200-95800 playing "elevator fluctuations", current price 94848 stuck tightly between MA5 and MA10, the early morning volume spike bearish candle smashed down to 94200 and then laid flat, total volume shrank over 30%. The market maker has compressed the Bollinger Bands to the thickness of chives, the 7-day and 30-day lines are twisted into a dead knot, this trend will either explode up 800 points to break 96000, or directly smash through the iron bottom of 93000.

​​Technical Deadlock: Boiling Frog​​
The five-minute MACD fast and slow lines are lying dead underwater, the green bars shortening like a flash of light. The J value of KDJ just hooked to 20 before being slapped back to 15, three small bullish candles on the hourly chart with a stepwise shrinking volume, a typical downward continuation "fishing line". The price is stuck between the weekly MA5 and monthly support, three waves of false breakdowns below 94500 have been pulled back, but the rebound high points have been pressed down from 95300 to 95000, the market maker's control is more obvious than lice on a bald head.

​​Bearish Three Knives Stabbing the Heart​​
The US SEC raided three market makers of Coinbase, over 180 million long orders buried overnight with grayscale ETF experiencing a net outflow for 62 hours, today another 85 million dollars on-chain alarm: a giant whale that hasn't moved in three years transferred 3200 big coins to OKX.

The Nasdaq index broke below the iron bottom of 18000 points, the VIX fear index soared 15%, and Big Coin's tendency to fall without rising is acting up again. The perpetual fee rate on exchanges dropped to -0.028%, the market maker clearly wants to explode the long positions.

​​Breaking the Deadlock for Survival:
Those trapped!! Focus on 93500 weekly life and death line, if the entity breaks below it, cut losses immediately without hesitation. Bottom fishing must wait for the five-minute chart to stabilize above 95800 and break the triangle area with volume, do not exceed 15% position. Entering contracts now is equivalent to giving the market maker an annual fee, the current volatility is only 0.13% (120 points), the range just fits a 50x leverage. Grid orders are narrowed to the range of 94600-95100, set a stop loss at 3% without being soft-hearted.

On-chain data reveals the truth: whales holding over 1000 coins have reduced their holdings by 12% this week, smart money has already taken the bucket and run.

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$BTC $ETH
#币安HODLer空投SIGN #加密市场反弹

Where exactly are Satoshi Nakamoto's million bitcoins hidden? What secrets lie behind 13 years of disappearance?

As the founder of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto's identity remains a mystery to this day. This enigmatic figure vanished from the world after creating the digital currency in 2009, leaving behind a "digital legacy" worth hundreds of billions.

According to blockchain experts, Satoshi gained approximately 1.1 million bitcoins through a specific mining model in the early days. These coins are scattered across dozens of wallet addresses and have not seen any transaction records in 13 years. Based on current market prices, this wealth is estimated to be worth over 300 billion RMB.

Even more puzzling is that after sending the last email in 2011 stating he was "busy with other projects," Satoshi completely severed all ties with the outside world. There have been no public appearances, no key signatures, and even the closest developers have never seen his true face. Some speculate he is a deceased cryptographer, while others suspect a government agency, but these hypotheses lack evidence.

In my view, this kind of "deliberate disappearance" precisely confirms the core spirit of Bitcoin—true decentralization does not require a cult of personality. Satoshi gave up the opportunity for fame and fortune, protecting the purity of blockchain in an invisible manner. Those dormant bitcoins are like silent guardians,

constantly reminding us: this system never needed the endorsement of any specific individual. Perhaps, as a saying in the crypto community goes: "Satoshi Nakamoto's greatest achievement is successfully disappearing." As Bitcoin sparks a financial revolution globally, the absence of its founder has become the most powerful proof of existence. This might just be the ultimate romance of the geek spirit!

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$BTC $ETH
#币安上线INIT #以太坊的未来

Dog speculators' market trend reappears, multiple military bullets have been chambered

$DOGE Today played 'elevator market' at 0.1815-0.1833, after a spike to 0.1833 in the early session, it was smashed back to 0.1812 by bears within 20 minutes. The daily line level tightly clings to the 5-day line without letting go. The MA5 and MA10 golden cross has expanded to 0.4 points, and the MACD has formed a duck mouth shape above the zero axis, with the volume bar flipping red for the second time but at a restrained height, indicating that the main force is controlling the rhythm to accumulate positions.

High-pressure zone turns into a meat grinder, dog speculators love to hit the head position

Above 0.1835, there are 180 million DOGE locked in, equivalent to the selling pressure of 1800 BTC forming a dam. The hourly RSI is stuck at a sensitive position of 67.3, and the long upper shadow candlestick at 15:30 consumed 3.28 million pieces of chips, a typical false breakout trap. The bottom 0.18 level has three layers of support: on-chain data shows that 120 million DOGE are ambushing in the 0.1802-0.1810 range, and the OBV energy wave curve has reached a new high for the week, while spot selling pressure has shrunk to a low level of 7.6 million pieces.

Nuclear-level positive news lurking, whales have already set up

Coinbase added DOGE/USDC trading pair at midnight, triggering an influx of 52 million dollars in incremental funds. On-chain monitoring detected a mysterious address that continuously bought 120 million DOGE three hours ago, with a cost price precisely at 0.1811. Musk quietly changed his Twitter background to a Shiba Inu comic and deleted it after 3 minutes, coinciding with the weekly MACD about to golden cross at the 0.002 position above the zero axis, the fuse for a violent surge has already been ignited.

The current price is testing the 0.1805-0.1828 range for the 7th time, with three instances of bullish divergence appearing at the 15-minute level. Spot players can place pyramid buy orders at 0.1808, while contract players should wait to chase 3x long orders after a breakout above 0.1831. Key to guard against possible 'guillotine' around 19:00, recommended stop-loss position set below 0.1798 at 0.3%. Remember the dog speculators' 'three strikes and you're out' rule - the first two false breakouts must be avoided, the third true breakout often occurs around 21:00.

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$DOGE $BTC
#比特币市值排名 #币安上线INIT

$HIFI : Deathly Contraction Brewing Major Shifts
In the early session, HIFI quoted at 0.2075, slipping 0.65%. The five-minute K-line amplitude compressed to 0.62%, with prices consolidating between 0.205 and 0.21. The MA10 moving average has formed a convergence with MA30/MA60, while the short-term moving averages have collectively lost focus. The market shows that 0.208 has become a critical stronghold for both bulls and bears, with 0.21 above pressing down on 230 million historical trapped chips, and 0.205 below hiding four-hour level main force support orders. If the box does not break, the oscillation will be difficult to cease.

​​Volume Anomaly Hides Secrets​​
Trading volume shrank to 0.85M, and on-chain monitoring shows that a whale address net transferred 920,000 HIFI to exchanges within six hours. However, the OTC premium rate has counterintuitively risen to 0.45%, and the funding rate has simultaneously turned positive to +0.0055%. This divergence between volume and price reveals that the main force is creating a liquidity trap, with open interest surging 18% to 56 million USD, and the long-short leverage ratio rising to 1:1.3.

​​Sudden Negative Impact on Ecology​​
The Federal Reserve issued a "long-term high interest" signal at 2 AM, causing BTC to fall below 62800, triggering a collective plunge in altcoins. Although HIFI staking TVL increased against the trend by 15% to 38.5 million USD, V3 contract vulnerabilities caused DEX liquidity pools to shrink by 5%, prompting the development team to urgently inject 2 million USD in market-making funds for stabilization.

​​Three Major Scripts for Bull-Bear Showdown​​
Bullish Defense Line: Defend the 0.205 support zone, and after breaking through 0.21, aim for 0.228. Bearish Nuclear Button: Breaking through 0.205 triggers a chain liquidation, plummeting to 0.195. Macro Black Swan: If the U.S. PCE data exceeds expectations at 21:30, the psychological barrier at 0.20 may see a million-level bull-bear slaughter.

​​Ultimate Survival Guide​​
Spot position suggested to maintain below 30%, grid orders can be placed in the 0.203-0.205 range (stop loss at 0.195). Contract players should beware of volatility spikes between 21:00-23:00. If breaking through 0.21 to chase longs, stop loss should be set at 0.208. Shorting below 0.205, leverage must not exceed 2x. Current IV has dropped to the historical 3% percentile, and the options market is betting on a volatility breakthrough of 15% within 24 hours, with the doge farmer's scythe already poised at the neck.

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$HIFI $BTC
#比特币市值排名 #币安上线INIT

Last night~

$BTC made a strategy:

Just say whether this wave is smooth or not, and that's it. Below, I will continue to share market analysis. If you want to follow along, we can discuss and exchange ideas together~ Click on my avatar to go to my homepage to see what I share~
$BTC $ETH
#比特币市值排名 #币安上线INIT

$INIT Spot Ultimate Warning

0.82 Defense Line Hanging by a Thread! The Dealer's Knife is Already at the Carotid Artery
Today, INIT staged a textbook-level death shake, with prices repeatedly rubbing around 0.8421. The MA10 moving average precisely locks the throat at 0.8462, forming a chasm of suppression. This morning's fake breakout at 0.9455 can be called the most toxic painting of the year, with a 3.18% amplitude burying chasing funds into the steel graveyard of 0.86-0.88, and the $1.28 million reduced transaction volume confirms that the main force has entered a silent harvesting mode.

>> Three-Dimensional Death Spiral
1. Chip Graveyard: On-chain data shows a locked position worth $5.3 million accumulated above 0.86. The 15-minute K-line faked a breakdown twice at 09:47 and 14:55, with the dealer using a 2.8% amplitude to complete a double explosion of long and short positions.
2. Volume Scam: Current trading volume has plummeted 53% compared to yesterday, with a single massive sell order of 350,000 pieces smashing through the psychological level of 0.84 in the early morning, confirming that following funds are less than 30% of yesterday's, indicating liquidity exhaustion.
3. Countdown to Change: CME Bitcoin futures settle tonight at 20:00 + dual impact of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The two major ambush windows at 09:47/14:55 require high vigilance.

【Survival Rule】
Spot players beware: CoinGecko's latest statistics show that the weekly outflow rate of INIT holding addresses reaches 15.7%, and the project wallet transferred 920,000 tokens to Binance in the past 48 hours. Before the 0.88 resistance level sees a single-hour buying volume above $3 million, all rebounds are leading you into a trap.

Contract Graveyard: There are strong long liquidation orders worth $4.2 million lurking below 0.82, and the volatility index has plummeted to 11.7, a new monthly low. Leveraged players must remember to cut positions if breaking 0.819, as the current market depth only supports instantaneous selling pressure of less than 30,000 pieces.

On-chain Alert: OKX perpetual contract funding rate at -0.023% exposes the shorts controlling the situation, and the Stochastic RSI has formed a death cross on the 4-hour level.

Remember: In a weak market, preserving capital is the true skill.

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$INIT $ETH
#比特币市值排名 #币安上线INIT

$ETH Daytime Sniping: Which Side of the US Stock Market Can This Fuse Ignite?

ETH spiked to $1775 in the early morning but was immediately pushed back down by the MA5/MA10 double moving averages, currently priced at $1735, down 0.35%. The daily chart's descending channel is locked in, with a massive selling pressure zone between $1770-$1785. On-chain data shows that the supply of ETH on exchanges has surged to a two-month high, creating a selling pressure akin to a ticking time bomb above. The latest hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve have shattered market sentiment, with Nasdaq futures plummeting 1.2% and Coinbase pre-market crashing 3%. This fuse is already sparking.

​​US Stocks Closing Determines Fate​​
If the S&P 500 stays above 5250 points tonight, ETH may get a little boost, but it must violently break through the $1750 dense resistance area, otherwise, it's all just a façade. If Bitcoin loses the $63,000 support line, the altcoins will inevitably be dragged down. Counter-scenario: If the US stocks break through the 5200-point support, ETH's previous low of $1715 absolutely cannot hold, and the strong support area at $1690 might become a massacre zone.

​​Technical Deadlock Breakthrough​​
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have narrowed to a suffocating range of $1730-$1750, with MACD lying below the zero line for 26 hours, and KDJ's three lines twisted into a ball — this kind of market that even dogs disdain is just a fuse away from a breakout. On-chain whales are synchronously falling apart, with addresses holding over 50,000 ETH dropping to an annual low, indicating a clear direction from market manipulators.

​​Spike Warning: There will definitely be bloodshed around 11 PM tonight before the US stock market opens!

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$ETH $BTC
#币安上线INIT #比特币市值排名

About US stock market closing:

Directly to the conclusion, dear friends, focus on the key points

​​AI sector directly takes off​​: The violent bullish line of NVDA directly injects adrenaline into the AI segment of the crypto circle, with hard-core assets like FET, RNDR, and TAO必跟涨. Pay attention to whether AGIX can break through the 0.38 dollar resistance level; if it breaks, it means the market maker is leading the trend.

​​$MEME rides on Tesla's popularity​​: TSLA rebounded by 3.5%, giving life to the Musk concept, and coins like DOGE and FLOKI, which are often promoted on Twitter, are definitely being targeted. But be careful of MEME coins’ sharp spikes, especially those low market cap coins controlled by market makers.

​​Chinese concept coins experiencing a split​​: In the Jinlong Index, NIO rose by 6% while TAL plummeted by 18%, indicating a divergence in Chinese projects within the crypto circle. For projects tightly bound to domestic policies like CFX, I think it's better to go for Hong Kong concept coins, such as ACH.

​​BTC blood-sucking alert lifted​​: The Nasdaq is driving global risk assets; Bitcoin must stabilize above 64k for altcoin season to likely kick off. Focus on the ETH/BTC exchange rate; if it can close above 0.05 today, the L2s like ARB and OP in the auntie ecology will go into frenzy mode.

​​Personal operations​​:
I have already placed an order to buy RNDR at market price with a 5% position, and I'm targeting a stop-loss line for CFX at 0.21 dollars (purely betting on Hong Kong ETF news). Futures traders should pay attention to the US stock market opening at 8 PM tonight; if BTC breaks 66k, don't hesitate to chase long positions.

​​Blood and tears reminder​​: Don't rush to buy into old projects in the crypto circle just because Chinese concept stocks are rising, like the ancient coin QTUM. If altcoins spike over 30%, be sure to take profits in batches. In this market, market makers are pulling a wave and then running. After the US stock market closes at 4 AM, be cautious of sharp spikes, and keep leverage below 5 times.

Now the whole network is waiting for BTC's weekly closing; if it stabilizes, May will directly lead to a crazy bull market.)

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$ETH
#比特币市值排名 #币安上线INIT

$ETH Five-Minute K-Line Bloodbath Scene: The Dog Dealer's Knife Leaves Many Corpses of Bulls

Staring at the five-minute K-Line of ETH, the Bollinger Bands opened like a guillotine, with prices stuck and rubbing against the middle-lower band for over 7 hours. After the death cross of MA5, MA10, and MA30, the bearish arrangement was formed, with the bearish candlestick driving down with 62,715 liquidation orders. The current price is firmly holding at 1731.40, and that 0.19% increase is purely misleading—every time it hits the 1725 area, the trading volume spikes instantly to 200K levels, and the dog dealer is unloading without even a fig leaf!

Technical Aspect: The liquidation line has turned red
1721.22 has become the coffin board for the bulls, while a buy order for 3000 ETH is hanging at 1720, but the futures market has 420 million dollars in liquidation orders, this level of defense is not even enough to warm up the bears. The MACD on the 15-minute level has crossed bearishly underwater for the second time, and the RSI value of 27.8 is skirting the oversold zone; breaking 1720 in this structure is the nuclear button. The upper level of 1741.83 has become a new resistance level; without a significant breakthrough at this position, any rebound is just a fishing line.

News Aspect: Triple Strike Blows Through the Floor
In the early morning, the US SEC postponed BlackRock's Ethereum ETF approval, directly collapsing market sentiment. The European Central Bank announced a 50 basis point rate hike in September, and large funds are frantically withdrawing from the crypto space to seek safety. On-chain monitoring detected a whale dumping 142,000 ETH to exchanges within 5 hours, this selling pressure is heavy, who dares to catch the falling knife?

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$ETH $BTC #TRUMP晚宴 #比特币市值排名

$BTC Who dares to catch the flying knives in the bloodied market?
The five-minute K-line of Bitcoin has formed a textbook-level coffin board pattern, with prices dropping from the morning session of 93,800 all the way to break through the 92,000 mark with increasing volume. The MA5 has crossed below the MA10, forming a death spiral, and the four-hour level moving averages are cascading downwards. The trading volume of the market maker has exceeded 12 billion USD throughout the day, especially with a wave of 1,260 sell orders at 15:00, which directly broke through the psychological barrier of 92,000, draining liquidity by 120 million USD. Technical indicators are all in free fall: MACD's underwater death cross has expanded to -380, RSI is lying dead in the oversold zone at 22, and the lower Bollinger Band is dropping 500 points every hour, with bears completely controlling the pricing power.

【Three Heavy Bombs in the News Ignite the Market】
On-chain monitoring shows Grayscale deposited 3,620 BTC to exchanges early this morning, creating the largest single-day selling pressure this month. The SEC has lightning-fast postponed the Fidelity spot ETF decision to August, completely blocking the entry channel for institutions. Even more deadly, a single transaction of 12,000 BTC appeared on Binance’s chain, triggering panic withdrawals from the exchanges. Under the three adverse conditions, long positions were liquidated for 560 million USD within 24 hours, with long positions accounting for as high as 91% of the liquidation volume, and the fear index plummeted to 14, the extreme fear threshold.

【Main Force Sets Up a Trap to Squeeze Retail Investors】
Currently, the market maker is crazily painting the door in the 91,500-92,000 range, with a sudden spike to 91,650 at 18:20 before violently pulling back to 92,500, precisely clearing 83,000 long positions' stop losses. The contract open interest surged by 42%, but the long-short ratio soared to an abnormal 2.1, indicating that leveraged retail investors are still flying into the fire. The hourly chart shows increasing selling pressure, with every rebound being accurately shot down by the VPVR's 92,500 heavy resistance area.
In terms of operations, do not touch any support levels in spot trading; if 91,500 is lost with volume, look directly at the 88,800 weekly chip vacuum area below.

For contracts, it is advised to open a short position on a rebound to the 92,300-92,500 range, with stop losses set above 93,000, and at least set the risk-reward ratio to 1:3.

Special attention should be paid to the current market depth being thin; a mere 300 BTC can trigger a 2% amplitude, and the market maker's series of liquidation traps have already been activated.

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$BTC $ETH
#TRUMP晚宴 #加密市场反弹

Current Market Analysis for 64019597710

1. Technical Breakdown: The 5-minute candlestick has buried the bulls directly, with the MA10 moving average pressing the price down like a knife. The support level around 0.013 is about to give way.
The price has dropped nearly 26% from yesterday's high of 0.0178, and a rebound to 0.015 was immediately crushed; this position has now become a meat grinder, and whoever tries to catch the falling knife risks their capital.

The trading volume is even more concerning—volume increases during the decline and shrinks during the rebound, clearly indicating that the bears are in control and no one dares to enter the market right now.

Critical Danger Signal: The previous low of 0.013 is just a fig leaf; if it breaks, we will directly look for a gap fill at 0.012. The current market resembles the major bear market of 2018, where those trying to catch the bottom are becoming cannon fodder in the 0.016-0.018 range. Binance has just added VIB to the watchlist, and I believe this wave of selling pressure is far from over. On-chain data clearly shows whales dumping 1.27 million VIB to the exchange, accounting for 19% of the day's outflow, which indicates that the main forces are fleeing.

2. Main Force Dynamics

Although VIB has formed a blockchain alliance with a Slovenian company, the crypto market now quakes at the mention of “regulation.” This favorable news has instead become an excuse for manipulators to wash the market, and the pump is merely a trap for retail investors. You can see mainstream coins are playing dead, and altcoins are bleeding slowly, which means playing with VIB now is like trying to catch a flying knife barehanded.

3. Risk Control Focus

If you really want to play for a rebound, wait for two signals: either have the daily closing price stay above 0.0125 for two consecutive days, or see a sudden surge in volume that creates a long lower shadow. But given the current situation, I advise you that it’s better to miss out than to make mistakes; altcoins can grind you down to nothing.

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$WING Morning opened high at 1.262 and quickly broke down. The five-minute candlestick shows a long bearish candle piercing through the MA5/MA10/MA20 three moving averages, forming a bearish squeeze pattern.
The price has been running below the moving averages all day, with the MA5/MA10 widening to 1.5 times the standard deviation, showing an accelerated downward trend. The amplitude of 1.67% corresponds to an entity drop of 18.7% (1.262→1.064), breaking through the previous strong support area at 1.064 at a 45-degree angle with increased volume, and the intraday chart shows that the main funds have continuously sold over 42,000 units in the 1.100-1.064 range.

Currently, there seems to be support around 1.064, but the 30-minute volume bars have shrunk to 37% of the opening volume, and the rebound has not even stabilized above MA5, with obvious signs of trapped positions escaping during the rebound. The annual line at 1.138 is under high pressure and requires at least 3 times the volume to break through. The panic index has soared to 82, and the degree of chip dispersion has increased by 41% compared to yesterday. In the afternoon, if there is no single order above 5,000 units pulling up, the probability of breaking below the 1.0 integer level exceeds 70%.

Buying the dip requires waiting for the price to stabilize above MA20 (1.085) before considering it; the current position's risk-reward ratio is below 1:2.

The short position target is moved down to the 0.93 support area, maintaining a bearish outlook until the trend reverses. Latest on-chain data shows that the project wallet transferred 58,000 WING to the exchange in the early morning, compounded by Binance launching a competing token on the 26th, leading to a sell-off.

Remember: rebounds in a downtrend are always opportunities to reduce positions; holding on in hopes of a reversal will only lead to deeper entrapment.

If you feel helpless and confused in trading, and want to learn more about the cryptocurrency space and cutting-edge information, click on my profile picture to follow me, and you won't get lost in this bull market again!
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$TRUMP opened sharply from 11.671 to 12.837, with the K-line directly breaking through the previous high resistance, but the bears quickly counterattacked. The current price is stuck at the 12.465 position, rubbing against it. The purple MACD is showing a death cross below water, rapidly widening, and the green bar area is 38% larger than yesterday. The weekly bottom divergence and the daily bearish arrangement are at odds, and this kind of technical conflict in the market is a test of mentality.

Key data breakdown: The actual amplitude is 6.8%, but the market only shows 0.08%, which is purely deceptive. The main force is using time to replace space to wear down retail patience. There have been four consecutive long upper shadows, and every time it rushes to 12.837, it is targeted and shot down by the bears. The 12.6-13 range formed by the 5-minute MA5/MA10 has become an iron top, and rebounding to this position is just giving away heads.

Funding explosion: The rebound wave of 4 million in trading volume was accompanied by the DVI indicator breaking the zero axis, and it shrunk to 1.65 million in two hours. The OKX perpetual contract open interest directly fled by 5%, and the main force is not being too obvious in offloading during the rebound. The current price is standing on the 12.465 midpoint, with only 2.97% space left to the previous high of 12.837, but the MACD death cross + funding rate of -0.018's divergence structure indicates that breaking through is likely a trap to attract longs.

Trend reversal. Now the topic of Trump has plummeted by 70%, with a long-short ratio of 1.02 indicating that traders are observing. The short-term speculation logic has directly collapsed.

Personal opinion: The bears' operation this time is truly eerie, violently stretching with a 1-minute K-line followed by an engulfing candle, specifically harvesting impulsive retail traders. The current price is like it’s glued to 12.465, and the daily triple top prototype has emerged. Chasing high at this point is just giving bullets to the main force.

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