#FOMCMeeting

Today and tomorrow (May 6 and 7, 2025), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve is meeting to make a decision on interest rates. Forecasts indicate that the central bank will keep the interest rate unchanged within the current range of 4.25% to 4.50%, amid ongoing anticipation regarding the impact of new tariffs on the U.S. economy.

Key updates:

1- High likelihood of maintaining rates: The "CME FedWatch" tool indicates that the likelihood of a rate cut at this meeting does not exceed 1.8%, reinforcing expectations of maintenance.

2- Political pressures unanswered: Despite President Trump's repeated calls for a rate cut to support economic growth, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, pointing to inflation risks arising from new tariffs.

3- Market anticipation: Markets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, are reacting cautiously to the decision outlook. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have decreased, while gold has risen by more than 2%, supported by a weak dollar and increased demand for safe havens.

Finally, some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates starting in July, especially if the effects of tariffs begin to negatively impact inflation and the labor market. But so far, there are no strong indications of economic weakness sufficient to justify an immediate rate cut.