$BTC #美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场回调 Though the road is long, it will be reached with action. Though the task is difficult, it can be accomplished with effort. During lunch, we once again presented a bearish perspective, and the short position near 94800 was entered as expected, achieving an 800-point gain. Despite numerous doubts along this path, I still want to respond to those voices with a saying: Though it is hard to sift through thousands of grains, it is only after blowing away the sand that one finds gold!

The current price is near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is dominant. According to the characteristics of the Bollinger Bands, when the price continuously touches the lower band without an effective rebound, it typically experiences a brief rebound before continuing to break down. Combined with the mentioned expansion of the upper and lower bands, this indicates an increase in volatility, and the bearish trend may accelerate. The middle Bollinger Band (usually the 20-period EMA) is currently pointing downward, and the price is below the middle band, forming a 'bearish channel.' The KDJ three lines have formed a death cross (the K line crossing below the D line) in the area above 50, which usually indicates a depletion of short-term bullish momentum. According to classic theory, the reliability of a death cross at a high position (J value > 80 after the death cross) is higher than that at a low position, so one must be cautious of rapid pullback risks. The current J value is rapidly declining, indicating a concentrated release of bearish strength. In summary, the current hourly technical outlook is bearish, but caution should be taken regarding a short-term oversold rebound. It is recommended that traders adopt a 'range breakout strategy' and respond flexibly to fluctuations in conjunction with a stop-loss mechanism.

Bitcoin Strategy: Short near 94500-94800, target 93000

Ethereum Strategy: Short near 1820-1840, target 1760