宇轩论势

Good morning everyone! After a deep pullback in the market last night, the bulls have strongly counterattacked, completing a V-shaped reversal. Bitcoin has first broken through the 95,000 psychological barrier, and in the early session, it has aggressively broken the 96,000 resistance level with a stepped increase in volume, currently reported at 96,300, showing a strong continuation of the upward trend. It is noteworthy that this round of rebound has not seen the usual technical pullback, and the hourly EMA moving averages are in a standard bullish arrangement. The short position strategy below 96,000 that was previously suggested in the early morning has triggered a 500-point risk control exit. Ethereum is also strengthening, having broken through the psychological level of 1,800 in the morning, forming a daily level breakthrough. Currently, the 4-hour MACD for the two major coins shows a continuous golden cross with increasing volume, suggesting to pay close attention to changes in trading volume during the Asia-Pacific session.

Bitcoin quickly broke through the key resistance level of 95,500 in the morning session, filling the recent downward gap, indicating an increase in short-term bullish momentum. This action may be stimulated by news of the China-U.S. tariff negotiations, with the market's expectation of easing trade policies boosting risk appetite. Bitcoin is currently in a stage of technical repair and fundamental game interplay. Although it has broken key resistance levels boosted by tariff negotiation news in the short term, it is still constrained by Fed policy, institutional fund flows, and the market liquidity environment in the medium to long term. It is recommended to adjust positions based on technical indicator signals and macro event dynamics, prioritizing a buy low, sell high strategy to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses.

Short near the rebound at 97,000-97,500, target 96,000-95,500
Short near the rebound at 1,830 for Ethereum, target 1,780

The daytime market waves have risen again. Bitcoin rebounded strongly in the early session, reaching a high of 95100 before encountering resistance and falling back. The bulls failed to maintain their momentum, stabilizing at the 93300 mark. With the opening of the US stock night market, market sentiment reignited a second wave of gains, and the coin price strongly reclaimed the 94600 high. Ethereum showed slightly weaker performance during the day, entering a volatile downward mode after hitting the resistance level of 1832 in the early session, ultimately retracing to the support area of 1750.
We accurately grasped the rhythm of the transition between long and short positions, executing ultra-short-term strikes based on key levels, achieving a thousand-point space in both directions! Although the volatility of Ethereum has narrowed, the steady profits of 30-50 points from each trade continuously inject momentum into the position's value. The market always rewards those wise traders who strictly adhere to trading discipline—price fluctuations are superficial; controlling the rhythm reveals the true essence!

On the four-hour level, the MACD fast and slow lines formed a golden cross near the zero axis. If the histogram continues to expand (requiring volume support), bullish momentum will strengthen. Currently, Bitcoin is in a crucial transition window; if the V-shaped reversal structure effectively breaks through 95500, it is expected to initiate a new round of rising cycles. It is recommended to dynamically adjust positions based on MACD, Bollinger Bands, and trading volume, prioritizing range strategies and following the trend after a breakout. For Bitcoin, buy low and sell high in the 93300-95500 range, and follow the trend after a breakout.

One cannot quench thirst by looking at plums, nor can one satiate hunger by drawing cakes; there are always some people who haven’t even read the question but have drawn a wild conclusion about the trend.

#美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT $BTC Evening viewing of wave rebound big pie gained 1200 points space! Currently, the long and short game has entered a white-hot stage, with prices continuously fluctuating in the middle and lower track areas. Technical patterns show that the bears still dominate, with 95000 as a key weekly resistance level that needs to be closely monitored for momentum conversion in this area. From the observation of the market structure, if BTC can effectively break through and stabilize above 95000 to form a weekly closing, it is expected to end the current C-wave decline structure and initiate a trend reversal; conversely, it will continue to maintain a range fluctuation pattern. Considering that the current price is in a sensitive area of multi-period moving averages convergence, the short-term retains the dual resistance levels of 95000 and ETH1800. If there is a rebound to the resistance area, a high short strategy can continue to be executed, and after an effective breakthrough, the position direction can be adjusted in conjunction with the volume-price relationship.

Currently, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is at 95,044, and the price has attempted to break through multiple times without success, indicating a short-term bearish dominance. Combined with historical data, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands often serves as a dividing line between bullish and bearish in a sideways market, and if it continues to be under pressure, it may trigger further pullbacks. Resistance/Support for the upper and lower bands: The upper band at 96,784 and the recent high of 97,865 form a strong resistance zone, and breaking through this area is necessary to alleviate downward pressure; the lower band at 93,304 serves as a key short-term support. If it breaks below, it may test the previous low of 92,848. Currently, Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point, with the technicals favoring bears, but there is strong support below. It is recommended to primarily use a range-bound strategy, strictly enforce stop-losses, and pay close attention to the effectiveness of the 93,000 support and the breakthrough at 96,000 resistance. $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT

If Bitcoin rebounds to the range of 95,000-94,500, consider a small short position, targeting a downward move to 93,304. Ether rebound near 1810-1830, short with a target at 1750.

The current price of Bitcoin is oscillating in the range of 94,000-95,000, showing a high-level consolidation pattern on the daily chart. The short-term support level is at 93,900, and resistance should be noted at 95,500-96,000 (previous high resistance area). If it breaks through 95,500, it may challenge 97,300-98,000; if it pulls back, we need to observe the support strength at 93,500. If it falls below this, it may dip to 92,720-91,620. 94,800 (the top of the intraday consolidation area): if it rebounds and holds this position, it may rise to 95,666 (near the previous high). Resistance 95,500-96,000: if broken, it may trigger a bullish acceleration. Support 93,500: the bottom of the consolidation area. If it holds, it may rebound to 94,800. The strong support area of 92,720-91,620 corresponds to the rising trend line from March and the institutional accumulation area. If broken, we need to be cautious of further pullbacks to 90,455$BTC $ETH #美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT

Ethereum is oscillating around 1,813-1,830, showing a horizontal convergence pattern on the 4-hour chart. The short-term support is at 1,790-1,800, and resistance should be noted at 1,830-1,845. If it breaks through 1,845, it may rise to 1,872; if it falls below 1,790, we need to observe 1,762-1,730 ◦ Resistance level: 1,813: the dividing line for bulls and bears during the day; if held, it may rebound to 1,830. 1,830-1,845: if broken, it may trigger a short covering, targeting 1,872 (Fibonacci 161.8% extension level). Support level: 1,790-1,800: the previous low before the Pectra upgrade; if held, it may stabilize and rebound. 1,762-1,730: strong support area, corresponding to the rising trend line from April and the large whale accumulation area; if broken, we need to be cautious of panic selling.

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #币安LaunchpoolSXT The recent bullish closing indicates that buying power is dominant, especially since there has been no further breakdown after touching the low around 93500, forming technical support. This position resonates with previous lows, aligning with the characteristics of a 'pullback correction pattern', providing a logical basis for a short-term rebound. The 4-hour level has continuously closed with solid bullish candles, showing enhanced momentum for a bullish counterattack; however, it is important to note that we are still in a short-term bearish trend, and the sustainability of the rebound needs to be observed alongside trading volume in the current market, which is in a rebound recovery phase. The technical indicators show bullish dominance, but one must remain cautious of changes in macroeconomic data and market sentiment. If it breaks through 96000 and stabilizes, the downtrend may reverse; otherwise, we need to guard against a second pullback.

Bitcoin buy near 93500-94000, target 95500
Ethereum buy near 1780, target 1830

Those who are content with the status quo will find it difficult to break through; the essence of investment lies in the unity of knowledge and action. The market opened a rebound channel as expected in the early morning, with BTC currently quoted at 94600. Our long positions established in the 93500 area have steadily gained a thousand points, and ETH has simultaneously captured over 30 points in profit. Although there is a technical pullback demand during the day, the upward momentum on the weekly level remains unchanged—support in the 93500-94000 range is effective, and we still recommend focusing on buying on dips as the main strategy moving forward.

The price has stabilized at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 93500 and is accelerating towards the upper band at 95500, indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. The middle band serves as dynamic support; if the price continues to run along the upper band, it may enter a one-sided upward channel. Key signal: if the distance between the upper and lower bands widens (standard deviation increases), it indicates an increase in volatility, potentially accompanied by accelerated market movement. Currently, Bitcoin shows a technical bullish resonance at the hourly level, with short-term targets pointing to the resistance zone of 95500-96500. In terms of operations, it is recommended to primarily buy on pullbacks with strict stop-losses; if key resistance is broken, increase positions while remaining cautious of KDJ overbought and MACD top divergence risks. It is advised to dynamically adjust positions in conjunction with the 4-hour trend line and daily support to guard against extreme volatility triggered by black swan events.

Bitcoin strategy: Buy around 94500, target 96500
Ethereum strategy: Buy around 1805-1815, target 1880$BTC #币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案

$BTC #币安LaunchpoolSXT #Strategy增持比特币 #美国稳定币法案 Each flourishing scene has gone through turbulent undercurrents; every vivid moment has traversed storms and hardships. The truth of the market often hides behind the candlestick chart, and only those who have experienced it can comprehend the power of trends. When everyone is sprinting at full speed, standing still will only widen the gap. In the evening, we precisely realized the long position strategy we laid out in advance, completing a harvest of 1300 points. There is no universal formula in the trading market; different trends require different tactics, but the eternal truth is: the execution in real trading is the ultimate key to profit.

The 4-hour chart is currently at the end of a descending triangle convergence, with the price oscillating around the middle track. The support of the lower trend line is located in the range of 92800-93000, resonating with daily support. The MACD green bars continue to shorten, and KDJ shows a golden cross at a low level, indicating an accumulation of short-term rebound momentum, but a breakout of the upper track is needed to confirm the trend reversal. Currently, Bitcoin is in a technical correction phase within a bullish trend, with short-term focus on the breakthrough of the key resistance at 95500. Day trading will mainly focus on buying on pullbacks, with strict stop-loss; if there is a volume breakout, then add positions to follow up.

For Bitcoin, buy on pullbacks near 94000-93500, target 95500. For Ethereum, buy on pullbacks near 1780-1800, target 1850.

Market education has never been about logic, but rather about margin calls; what can pierce through the cocoon of cognition is always the deep pain of loss, not theoretical discussions. Experiencing a deep loss is more enlightening than reading thousands of research reports or watching countless live streams. Profits and losses are interconnected like breathing; one understands the rhythm of breathing only after choking on water. Intraday long and short strategies are executed with precision, with Bitcoin capturing 2700 points in a lightning harvest, and Ethereum gaining 70 points swiftly; profits are never late!

The current convergence signal of the 4-hour MACD indicates that while the MACD indicator remains in the negative zone, the green bars are continuously shrinking, suggesting that the bearish momentum is nearing its end. Data shows that if a golden cross forms after the MACD green bars converge, it is often accompanied by a short-term rebound, necessitating attention to whether it breaks the zero line. If successful, it confirms a reversal of the bearish trend; otherwise, it may maintain a fluctuating bottom formation. In summary, the current market is in a sensitive phase of technical correction and macro expectations resonating, suggesting a focus on range strategy, with particular attention to the breakout direction of the key range of 93000-95000, and dynamically adjusting positions based on on-chain data.

Bitcoin strategy: Long near 93500-93000, target 95000
Ethereum strategy: Long near 1795-1780, target 1840

[The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Risks are to be borne by the reader. The article's review and release may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely; specific operations should adhere to Yuxuan's real-time strategies.]

$BTC #美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场回调 Though the road is long, it will be reached with action. Though the task is difficult, it can be accomplished with effort. During lunch, we once again presented a bearish perspective, and the short position near 94800 was entered as expected, achieving an 800-point gain. Despite numerous doubts along this path, I still want to respond to those voices with a saying: Though it is hard to sift through thousands of grains, it is only after blowing away the sand that one finds gold!

The current price is near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is dominant. According to the characteristics of the Bollinger Bands, when the price continuously touches the lower band without an effective rebound, it typically experiences a brief rebound before continuing to break down. Combined with the mentioned expansion of the upper and lower bands, this indicates an increase in volatility, and the bearish trend may accelerate. The middle Bollinger Band (usually the 20-period EMA) is currently pointing downward, and the price is below the middle band, forming a 'bearish channel.' The KDJ three lines have formed a death cross (the K line crossing below the D line) in the area above 50, which usually indicates a depletion of short-term bullish momentum. According to classic theory, the reliability of a death cross at a high position (J value > 80 after the death cross) is higher than that at a low position, so one must be cautious of rapid pullback risks. The current J value is rapidly declining, indicating a concentrated release of bearish strength. In summary, the current hourly technical outlook is bearish, but caution should be taken regarding a short-term oversold rebound. It is recommended that traders adopt a 'range breakout strategy' and respond flexibly to fluctuations in conjunction with a stop-loss mechanism.

Bitcoin Strategy: Short near 94500-94800, target 93000
Ethereum Strategy: Short near 1820-1840, target 1760

The Path to Breaking the Deadlock, Waiting for the Flowers to Bloom. Precise entry for short positions at 94,800 in the afternoon; although the current market flows like a gentle stream, it aligns with our expected rhythm. The way of trading is not about winning or losing in a day but about steadfastly holding to the trend. In the face of market noise, we firmly believe: After the clouds clear, the moon will shine brightly; holding positions requires perseverance. Account profits are quietly accumulating, just like the dormancy that spring buds must go through before breaking through the soil. Continue to hold and wait for the right time, allowing time to become our most loyal ally. After watching the clouds roll by, we will eventually welcome the harvest moment that belongs to the perseverant! $BTC #美国稳定币法案 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场回调

Currently, Bitcoin is in a phase of consolidation and bottoming out; the technical contradiction between bulls and bears needs time to resolve. In the short term, pay attention to the effectiveness of breaking 95,000; if it stabilizes, consider cautiously adding to long positions; if it faces resistance and falls back, be wary of the risk of a second bottom test. In the medium to long term, as long as the support at 93,000 remains effective, the bullish structure is not broken, and pullbacks still present opportunities for positioning. It is recommended that investors manage their positions flexibly at critical levels to avoid unilateral bets.

$BTC Today's early morning BTC/ETH has followed the expected technical correction trend. We entered short positions at the key resistance levels of 948/1825 and profited 1200/28 points, followed by a rebound trade near 935, capturing an 800-point gain, which fully confirms the effectiveness of swing trading in the current volatile market.

Currently, Bitcoin's daily chart shows a "fragmented bearish - turning bullish - consecutive bearish" cycle. This structure is essentially a typical representation of the exhaustion of bullish momentum. After forming a long upper shadow at 95,844, the price quickly retreated, then oscillated between 93,500-94,000 with alternating bullish and bearish movements. Although the price remains high, the recent trading volume has continuously shrunk, especially after multiple failed attempts to break through the 96,000 resistance area, indicating insufficient bullish breakthrough intent. The hourly MACD histogram continues to shrink, and the RSI (57) has exited the overbought area but has not formed a bottom divergence, suggesting limited short-term rebound momentum. It is recommended to adopt range trading, which, to put it simply, means whether it’s a pullback or a rebound, just ensure enough space is provided!

Bitcoin rebounds 94500-95000 short, with a target near 93000; Ethereum around 1810-1830 short, with a target near 1750.

After two consecutive days of fluctuations and declines over the weekend, the market continued its weak pattern on Monday, with prices showing a step-down trend. Although it briefly fell below the key support level of 94,500 during the day, the bearish momentum was not effectively released, and the market entered a tug-of-war phase between bulls and bears. In terms of operations, we continuously hold positions using a pyramid averaging method in our medium to long-term strategy, while short-term trades strictly adhere to risk control disciplines, promptly executing stop-loss measures for ineffective strategies. The essence of trading lies in the unity of knowledge and action; we hope everyone maintains strategic composure and patiently awaits market catalysts to emerge.

The current market exhibits three major technical characteristics: 1. A bottom divergence signal appears in the daily MACD; 2. The lower Bollinger Band shows a price adhesion effect; 3. Trading volume is showing a depletion-style contraction. It is recommended that investors pay close attention to the strong support zone of 93,500-94,000. If a panic sell-off occurs followed by a divergence in volume and price, one can build long positions in batches based on the oversold signal of the 30-minute KDJ. The Bollinger Band price is operating above the middle line, with the channel opening upwards, indicating a strengthening of short-term bullish momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is in a transition phase from a consolidation to a main upward wave, with short-term technical support for pullback buying, but caution is advised regarding regulatory risks and insufficient volume leading to false breakouts. 57649573850

On Monday morning, Bitcoin hovered around: 94,000-93,500 long, target 96,500; Ethereum hovered around 1,800-1,780 long, target focus on 1,880.

The current Bitcoin price of $BTC is located between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, and the distance between the upper and lower bands is expanding, which aligns with the classic pattern of an "upward channel" in technical analysis. According to the principles of Bollinger Bands, the middle band (20-day moving average) represents the direction of the medium-term trend; a price consistently running above the middle band indicates that bulls dominate the market. The expanding distance implies an increase in volatility, which may be accompanied by accelerated upward movement or pullback pressure, requiring verification of the breakout's validity in conjunction with trading volume. Current Bitcoin price is located between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, and the distance between the upper and lower bands is expanding, aligning with the classic pattern of an "upward channel" in technical analysis. According to the principles of Bollinger Bands, the middle band (20-day moving average) represents the direction of the medium-term trend; a price consistently running above the middle band indicates that bulls dominate the market. The expanding distance implies an increase in volatility, which may be accompanied by accelerated upward movement or pullback pressure, requiring verification of the breakout's validity in conjunction with trading volume. In summary: current technical indicators resonate to show that the medium-term upward trend remains unchanged, but short-term overbought signals and external policy risks need to be considered.

Buy Bitcoin directly near 95000, target 96500. Buy Ethereum near 1820, target 1870.

True winners do not rely on single profits, but on strict discipline: position management is the shield, and emotional control is the blade. Remember, bull markets may rely on luck, but not losing in bear markets is real strength; enduring fluctuations and staying true to your original intention is the only way to navigate through bulls and bears. The night session saw BTC briefly rise to the 97,800 pressure zone, momentarily opening an upward channel for bulls. However, bears quickly counterattacked, and the price retreated to consolidate above the key support of 96,000. $BTC

The current price is forming strong support around 96,000, which is the cost line for short-term holders (STH) and has historically been validated multiple times. If the price stabilizes here, it may trigger a technical rebound. The hourly chart shows six or seven consecutive bearish candles indicating concentrated selling pressure, but we need to observe if a 'bottom divergence' signal appears (e.g., new price lows while MACD does not sync with new lows). A MACD golden cross (DIF crossing above DEA) near the zero axis, if accompanied by increased volume, is usually considered a valid bullish signal. Currently, if the MACD green bars shorten and the fast and slow lines converge, it may indicate a short-term rebound. Long lower shadow candles indicate strong buying at lower levels, but this needs to be verified with trading volume. If subsequent candlesticks stabilize above the upper shadow, it confirms effective support.

If the price stabilizes at 96,000 and the MACD golden cross is confirmed, one can try a small long position, targeting 97,000-97,500.
Around 1820 long, targeting 1850-1870.

Bitcoin maintained high volatility after breaking through the previous high of 97,895, with consecutive bullish candles on the 4-hour chart accompanied by increased trading volume, validating the effectiveness of the breakout. The MACD dual lines continue to stay above the zero axis, and the expanding histogram indicates a strengthening upward momentum; the 4-hour breakout accompanied by increased trading volume aligns with the 'volume precedes price' logic for upward movement; the daily price remains above the EMA bullish defense line. If it retraces without breaking this position, the short-term trend is still bullish. Short-term dividing line: 5-day EMA (currently at 96,500) is the key support. If the price pulls back to this level without significant volume breakout, it can be seen as a bullish entry signal. Core support range: 92,000-94,000 (lower edge of the 4-hour central axis), if unexpectedly broken, it may trigger technical selling pressure. Upper resistance 98,500-100,000 psychological level.

• Bullish strategy: Accumulate positions in batches at 96,000-96,500, stop-loss at 95,000, target at 98,500$BTC

On the evening of $BTC , the large pancake stabilizes at the 95000 level. With the release of positive evening news, the price ratio experienced a strong bullish surge, successfully breaking the 96300 level, and the price ratio firmly established itself at the previous high. We also followed the trend during this bullish rally, with a one-sided increase of over 4000 points.

After the price touched the upper Bollinger Band, it quickly fell back to near the middle band, indicating effective resistance at the upper band. According to the characteristics of the Bollinger Band, when the price continuously touches the upper band while the standard deviation narrows, it often signals a technical correction after a short-term overbought condition. Currently, the Bollinger Band's opening is narrowing, further validating the decrease in volatility and the intensification of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The three lines of the KDJ have entered the overbought zone, and there are signs of the J value turning downward. The current KDJ and price trend form a 'top divergence', suggesting excessive consumption of bullish momentum. Although the MACD remains positive, the histogram has been shortening for three consecutive hours, indicating a weakening of bullish driving force. According to the MACD momentum decay rule, when the red histogram's reduction exceeds 50% of the previous day, the probability of a short-term pullback increases to 75%. The current reduction has reached 62%, meeting the conditions for a technical adjustment.

Aggressive investors can attempt to short with light positions in the 97,300-97,500 area, setting a stop-loss above 98,000, targeting 95,000. It should be noted that if the price stabilizes at 96,000 with an increase in trading volume, it may trigger a short covering rebound to 98,500.

$BTC Current 4-hour Bollinger Bands are showing a downward opening trend, RSI indicator remains in a neutral to weak range, and the KDJ death cross has not fully recovered. This diverges from the user's mention of "bearish volume shrinking turning into bullish," and we need to pay attention to whether the price can effectively break through the key resistance level of 95,500 to validate the trend's effectiveness. Recent on-chain data indicates that the net inflow of spot ETFs has decreased by 23% from its peak, the open interest has increased but the funding rate remains negative, indicating that the main capital is still cautious. If there is a lack of sustained volume support, breaking through 96,000 may trigger a bearish counterattack. Although the daily MACD has formed a golden cross, the 4-hour KDJ high position death cross and RSI top divergence create resonance risk, so the intraday operation should focus on low longs.

Long 93700-93200, target 95000-95500
Ethereum long at 1780, target 1830

$BTC can remain calm and rational in the market, continuously adjusting and appropriately optimizing their strategies amid changes. When you can understand this and start empowering yourself to realize your trading journey, you may begin to experience a qualitative leap. The evening market moved as expected, with short positions around 95500 exiting near 93000 due to a drop in US stocks, again capturing nearly 2000 points of space. Don't be anxious about the correctness of each trade; what you can truly control is how to respond to each strategy after the price rises or falls. If you are still struggling, feel free to reach out to me for discussion.

The current price continues to operate below the middle track, with the Bollinger Bands expanding and showing a downward divergence. This "downward opening" structure often indicates a risk of accelerated decline in the short term. The KDJ three lines continue to remain in the weak zone below the 50 mid-axis, with the J value being below the K/D lines for three consecutive days, forming a "death cross resonance." It is worth noting that the current KDJ indicator is forming a "bottom divergence" pattern with the price trend. If a daily level bottom divergence occurs subsequently, it may trigger a short-term rebound for repair.

Bitcoin rebound at around 94500-95000 short, target 93000
Ethereum rebound at around 1790 short, target 1750