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#BOME $BOME多头交易入口：0.001542 目标：0.001586 - 0.001725 - 0.00195 止损：0.001497

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#JASMY $JASMY多头交易入场：0.01645 - 0.01614 目标：0.017148 - 0.01813 止损：0.015875

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📊 BTC “右侧信号”更新：按年龄划分的成本基础 🔍 按年龄划分的成本基础分析：比较“<1个月短期筹码成本”（红线）与“<6个月中期筹码成本”（绿线）。红线低于绿线，表明短期投资者盈利下降，市场需时间修整；红线上穿绿线，则暗示新需求推高成本，常伴随趋势行情（图1）。 📈 当前状态：BTC价格站上绿线，市场信心逐步恢复，但红线仍低于绿线。2024年7月（A点），红线触碰绿线失败，价格持续调整；9月（B点），红线上穿绿线成功，BTC开启趋势行情，涨幅超70%。现在是A还是B？以红绿线距离看，约1个月或见分晓。 ⚠️ 并非每次红线上穿绿线都带来大涨。2021年5.19恐慌出清后，BTC价格先站上绿线，市场信心回暖，红线上穿绿线后反弹37%（图2）。但信号前错过早期反弹，信号后市场回踩16%，未破坏趋势。评论区有朋友质疑：若类似情况重现，20-30%利润是否值得参与？风险收益因人而异，币圈高波动下，追求低风险收益的策略也合理。 🌐 本轮周期观察：链上及交易所数据显示，BTC难再现前几轮周期的高回报率。4年周期或模糊，未来可能由“局部熊市”与“趋势行情”交替组成牛熊转换。耐心等待右侧信号，关注关键支撑/阻力位，把握趋势机会！

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📊 BTC & ETH 1小时级别分析： BTC：箱体震荡，暂无明确结构特征，短期方向不明。 ETH：走势与BTC一致，箱体震荡，缺乏清晰结构。继续观察关键支撑/阻力位，等待突破信号！⚡️ #BTC #ETH

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