🔴 Global recession in 2025? Economists raise the alarm 📉
— 60% of economists from 50 countries around the world consider the risk of a global recession in 2025 to be high, according to a recent Reuters survey.
📉 What is happening: — The forecast for global economic growth has been revised down from 3% to 2.7%
— The IMF has downgraded its estimate to 2.8%
— 28 out of 48 countries have revised their expectations downwards
— The impact of the US-China trade wars is viewed particularly negatively
💬 Experts warn:
"Even if tariffs are lifted today — the damage to trust and trade has already been done," says Timothy Graf from State Street.
⚡ Main risk factors: — Trade war → stagflation (simultaneous rise in inflation and decline in the economy)
— Central banks acknowledge: the inflation targets for 2025 will not be achieved
— Investors are advised: "buckle up" — turbulence lies ahead
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