1. Key positions and trend judgment

Tonight, focus on the performance of the 4-hour level K-line at the 148.7 position; this level is a key node for the continuation or pullback of the short-term market:

1. Upward conditions: If the 4-hour closing price stabilizes above 148.7, it is regarded as the bullish strength dominating, and the market is expected to continue its rebound trend. The upper resistance levels can be referenced:

- First resistance level: 153.2 (Resistance from the recent high point connection, breaking it may open up short-term upward space);

- Second resistance level: 157.3 (20-day moving average pressure on the daily chart, requires volume cooperation to break);

- Strong resistance level: 159.4 (Late March high point, breaking it may indicate a mid-term target).

2. Pullback risk: If the 4-hour closing price cannot stay above 148.7, caution is needed for a market turn to a pullback, with the following support levels in order:

- First support level: 145 (near the intraday low, a short-term psychological barrier for bulls and bears);

- Second support level: 142.6 (Middle track of the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour level, technical buying may intervene);

- Strong support level: 140 (Support from the weekly rising trend line, breaking below may trigger a deeper adjustment).

2. Operational strategy recommendations

- Aggressive approach: If stabilizing above 148.7, a small position can be taken long, targeting 153.2 and 157.3, with a stop loss set below 148.7; if it breaks below 148.7, short positions can be taken with targets at 145 and 142.6, and a stop loss set above 148.7.

- Conservative approach: Wait for clear breakout signals (such as a significant volume sustaining above resistance or breaking below support), avoid blind operations near key levels, and focus on changes in trading volume and market sentiment.

3. Summary

Short-term market revolves around 148.7 for a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with the 4-hour closing price being the core basis for judging direction. An upward move requires breaking through multiple resistance levels to validate strength, while a pullback needs to observe the support levels' holding strength. It is recommended to remain cautious, control position risk, avoid chasing up and down, and adjust operations flexibly based on real-time trends.$SOL #SOL走势