【$btc】2025.4.28

① The tariff negotiations have shown some movement; South Korea and India have already started discussions, and Japan and the United States also plan to continue talks at the end of April or early May. What about the highly anticipated China-U.S. negotiations? Although Trump hasn't made any significant statements, our central bank governor will attend the World Bank and IMF meetings in the U.S. this week, and there may be some low-level communications. However, don't expect the China-U.S. negotiations to be like those with other countries; the long-term trend in China-U.S. relations is a decoupling, and the market is already psychologically prepared for this. Therefore, it's not a big deal if short-term negotiations don't reach an agreement, but as long as there is some small progress, market sentiment can improve a bit. Negotiations with other countries, such as South Korea, will also not be resolved quickly, and at the earliest, it may drag into July. This means that tariff negotiations are a protracted battle, and there won't be any major breakthroughs in the short term, but small progress can stabilize market sentiment. Thus, regarding tariff issues, the possibility of shocking the market is quite low. So, what news could cause a series of fatal blows to the market?! Anyway, I still don't know for now.

② The current trend is very healthy, so what could make it unhealthy or pose a risk of a significant drop? A valid drop below 91200. However, even so, the likelihood of a sustained decline is also very low, and the extent of the drop would be quite limited. So how can you expect me to directly foresee a major drop starting now? Oh, just because interest rates are expected to be lowered in the second half of the year, but we don't know the month yet, so we must start seeing a peak drop now? Doesn't that seem a bit ridiculous? So, do you believe the opinions that are circulating online? If you want to believe, then go ahead and do it. If you don't believe, then take it step by step.

③ Upper pressure, 【95100-96200】. If we can effectively break through 96200 in the next couple of days, we will directly look towards 【98300-99700】. But be careful, if we can't get past 【95100-96200】, we will need to drop back to around 91200. So, in the next couple of days, we will basically see whether it will rise or fall. Currently, I am more inclined towards an upward trend. #ProSharesTrustXRPETF #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #特朗普税改