$BTC April 28, 2025, 01:35
• Current price: 94,043.47 USDT, decrease of 0.32%.
• 24-hour data:
• 24-hour high: 95,369.00 USDT
• 24-hour low: 93,602.58 USDT
• 24-hour trading volume: 10,891.85 BTC (approximately 1.027 billion USDT)
• Recommended strategy: Wait for the price to reach 94,140-94,160 to short with a light position, target 93,602.58, stop loss at 94,752.70.
• Reason:
• Elliott Wave indicates that the C wave decline is nearing its end, and the current small-level rebound may conclude, with a potential continuation of decline after short-term fluctuations.
• RSI neutral (52.88), may decline below 50 in the short term.
• MACD death cross but negative value is shrinking (-6.70), short-term trend is neutral, but capital flow shows net outflow of main funds (5 hours - 8,327.1120 BTC), which may be under pressure in the short term.
• Capital flow and CEX/TVL data indicate continuous outflow of funds, which may put pressure on the price in the short term.
• Notes:
• Closely monitor whether RSI falls below 50 and whether the negative MACD histogram begins to expand.
• If the price breaks 94,752.70 and RSI breaks 60, timely stop loss and consider going long.
6. Risk Management
• Stop loss settings: Control the risk of each trade to 1-2%, and set stop loss outside the key resistance level (94,752.70).
• Position management: It is recommended to operate with a light position (10-20% position) to avoid high volatility risks.
• External factors: Pay attention to global macro events (such as Federal Reserve policies, cryptocurrency regulatory news), as these may trigger significant volatility in BTC.
