In the past week (2025w16), BTC suddenly surged, breaking away from the 85k horizontal level, with a continuous rise accumulating 1000 dollars, reaching a level of 95k. The week opened at 88.5k, peaked at 95.7k, and bottomed at 88.5k, with a Saturday close of 94.4k, for a weekly increase of about 6.67%.
Today, BTC's needle continues to fluctuate around 94k, and it is normal for the market to rise for a few days and then spike contracts.
Current core focus opportunities:
1. Meme coins rebound: Trump leads the charge, pengu, bonk, turbo, pnut follow suit.
2. AI track rebound: ai16z, aixbt, virtual, turbo and other oversold rebounds, with a weekly increase covering March's decline.
3. Sol chain hotspots: house (real estate hedging project) FDV soared to 55M+. BONK's new platform lestbonk FDV fell from 30M to 10M, beware of short-term FOMO risks.
4. CEX operations: Alpaca taught everyone what real trading is, using a contract rate of -2% settlement in one hour to pump the spot market and forcing a short squeeze.
5. BONK's new meme platform lestbonk: After its launch, FDV soared directly to around 30M but is currently below 10M. If there is short-term FOMO, make sure to take profits.
6. The two fastest-growing sectors in Web3: RWA and PayFi, we are also heavily investing in these two directions.
First answer the fans' questions: The rise and fall of BTC and ETH are entirely determined by Americans. How to pay attention to market trends and judge when to increase positions to buy or sell?
Answer: The mainstream trading pairs in the crypto market are USDT, but American investors prefer to enter and exit using USDC. Therefore, fluctuations in USDC prices can indicate market trends:
1. If you are increasing positions or conspiring to buy in a mouse warehouse, the obvious performance is to sell USDC to buy USDT. The price of USDC will drop, and BTC and ETH are likely to pump and rise.
2. Conversely, if USDC rises, it indicates that there may be a brewing negative sentiment or large-scale selling of BTC and ETH.
When I was reviewing, I suddenly found a problem:
The gap around ETH's bottom of 1775 USD (yellow) has been filled, and there are still two gaps left in the short term. If you, like me, bought ETH at the 1800 position on April 5 and did not make any operations in between, holding it all the way, then congratulations, you have broken even now.
The recent gap for BTC is between 91970 USD and 92525 USD. Gaps are a matter of mysticism, but so far all of BTC's short-term gaps have been filled.
We have experienced the worst times. The current macro environment has recovered. Once the market continues to adjust and fully restores confidence, the trend will start to shift from rebound to reversal. If there are no interest rate cuts in May, there will likely be cuts in June, coupled with related policy announcements, the market will be ready to explode. Therefore, May and June will be a good time to accumulate positions at low prices.
Today's Bitcoin market:
According to previous statements from the beginning of the month, BTC has broken through the trend line after a triple bottom, rising to the 96.7k resistance level, which has formed a false bullish signal. Pullbacks can focus on support at 84.5k and 82k. If it falls to 84.5k and stops falling, it indicates a rebound above 100+k. If it falls to 82k and then rebounds, it indicates a breakdown pullback, so be cautious of market risks.
ETH shot directly above 1850 this morning, eating up all the large sell orders above, touching the upper part of the 4-hour channel before starting to pull back. The 4-hour chart showed signs of exhaustion, and for a pullback depth, you can see around 1730. For swing traders, this area can be a good spot to pick up some spot.
Reminder: There are quite a few important events next week, and the futures market positions remain high.
Monday: The big goose holds federal elections
Tuesday: The beautiful country's March labor mobility data
Wednesday: The beautiful country's first quarter GDP and price index
Thursday: The little country's central bank interest rate decision
Friday: The beautiful country's April non-farm employment and unemployment rate
At the same time: 74 million SUI, 31.34 million OP, large unlocks. It feels like another round of divine battles is about to happen. Do you want to watch or seize the opportunity to make a profit? The big direction is betting on the 57 Ethereum upgrade and betting on interest rate cuts in June!
More strategies have been released, and finally, let's analyze two coins:
Bera
A new unilateral bullish trend may break through the 3.85 area, with potential entry points at 3.5-3.375. You can enter on a pullback or in batches, but if it drops below 3.375, you should stop loss.
CRV
The 4H chart has not broken support, maintaining an upward structure, waiting for a closing K candle. If it breaks, you can wait for a rebound to be blocked in the 0.647 area or wait for the price to drop to the lower boundary of the box, aiming for a rebound in the 0.576 area.
