Recently, Bitcoin has performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 12%, surpassing U.S. stocks and breaking through $95,000. Today's main content is still about tariffs, but from the performance of U.S. stocks, it has not been affected by Trump. Instead, the good earnings reports from tech stocks in the past two days have driven U.S. stocks to continue rising, and GDP data will be released next week.
Several predictions I mentioned before have already been realized one by one (new friends can review previous articles).
1. The main force of the big coin will surely rise quickly without looking back, directly moving away from the accumulation zone. Those who get on board later can only buy the high-cost big coins; this is what I said when the big coin had not yet surpassed 80,000.
2. ETH will grind at the bottom while BTC and SOL are rising, and then suddenly jump violently when the big coin and SOL are consolidating. This is what I mentioned a few days ago.
3. SOL is a leading indicator for BTC. When SOL rallies, consolidates, then rallies again and then declines, it usually happens ahead of the big coin. This is experience, not a rule.
Market analysis:
1. The big coin has risen from 74508 to 86496 in the first phase, which is a driving wave; after a brief pullback, it has risen from 83950 to the current level, which is the second phase of the rise and is still ongoing.
2. If we assume that 95758 is the highest point of the second phase of the rise, and that the second phase of the rise has been completed and is starting to pull back, there might be a third phase of the rise, as shown in the diagram:
If this is how it moves, we need to redefine this rebound; it may be larger in scale than imagined. It might move like this: however, this is just a hypothesis. Without new upward driving forces appearing, I will not look at expanding the scale for now.
(Remember this chart, if there are no good news and no bad news, it might move like this; the patience of the main force is much greater than ours. You think this is an ABC rebound, but it might just be the first part of the rebound. Currently, the sentiment is that retail investors are very cautious, so the main force will likely take many actions here.)
Regarding trading:
1. We cannot control how the market moves; we can only decide how to operate ourselves:
2. Below 95000, I define it as a low-risk zone, which means to hold the position and buy on pullbacks; above 95000, I define it as a high-risk zone, which means flexible operations—take opportunities when they arise and don't force it when there are none.
3. Do not have a rigid framework; use light stop-losses, manage risk-reward ratios, and do not subjectively expand the position level.
4. Wait for opportunities, and seize them when they arise.
Recently, the mainstream coin that has risen the most is SUI.
By April 2025, it is expected to break through $3.39, locking in a value of $14.6 billion, achieving multi-dimensional breakthroughs in ecology and technology. Its innovative technical architecture (such as DAG consensus and sharding mechanism) enhances performance and decentralization, and its ecosystem covers multiple tracks such as DeFi, Meme+AI, and hardware, attracting mainstream capital and reconstructing valuation logic, pushing blockchain towards the era of a 'digital economic operating system.'
A simple explanation of several strategies:
1) Beta strategy: Directly buy the native currency SUI, with the EMA 200 weekly line price around 1.6, aggressively build a long-term position below $2, and hold on tightly.
2) Core strategy for ecosystem coins: Walnus DEEP NS has shown significant short-term gains, and NS's valuation is relatively low, but the premium in the domain name track is limited. It is recommended to enter these leading projects during pullbacks; similar strategies also apply to other core DeFi projects like Navi and Bluefin.
3) Easy profit strategy: MMT mining has an annualized return of up to 1,673.10%. A couple of days ago, I bought the LP combination of DEEP/SUI, and in two days, the profit plus the price increase has exceeded 25%. There will also be MMT airdrops in the future, which is really worth it!
Finally, a review of this week's performance:
On the 20th, low market value altcoins can easily rise by thirty to fifty points without any reason, and even double or triple. Currently, FLOKI and LEVER have perfectly concluded, with CAKE (13%+) and QUICK (currently flat).
FLOKI and CAKE are both performing well, and the positive news is abundant. Normal altcoin trading strategies can be used to enter the market.
LEVER and QUICK are both light market cap coins, and from previous candlestick charts, when the market is slightly better, it is very easy to insert 50% or 100% gains.
