When the S&P 500 rises for two consecutive days, technology stocks and semiconductors rebound significantly, and Chinese concept stocks are close to turning from decline to rise—will this be the prelude to a new bull market, or a flash in the pan during sentiment recovery?
The U.S. stock market is undergoing a notable warming. Recently, the S&P 500 index has expanded its gains to 1%, and the Nasdaq has surged by 1.55%, indicating a comprehensive return of market confidence. This is not an isolated rebound but a gradually constructed mid-term uptrend after two consecutive days of gains. Under the combined effect of easing geopolitical pressures and slight policy adjustments, U.S. stocks are reshaping the risk preference curve and may have profound impacts on global capital flows.
Behind the rise of U.S. stocks: sentiment recovery or trend establishment?
What investors care about most is not a one-point rebound, but the macro logic reflected by the rise. From this round of market movement, the core driving force behind it is not complicated:
Market sentiment is rapidly recovering.
Expectations for a softening of U.S. trade policy are driving a repricing of risk assets.
The structural rebound in technology and semiconductors provides strong support for the index's rise.
Especially against the backdrop of frequent fluctuations in the past quarter, this 'second surge' trend is more like a clear signal of capital flowing back to high-beta assets.
Chinese concept stocks may experience a reversal, and expectations for U.S.-China relations are warming.
It is noteworthy that the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index is close to turning from decline to rise, which is an important signal after the long-term slump of Chinese concept stocks. On the previous trading day, the index closed up 2.93%, indicating that overseas funds may be reassessing the value range of Chinese enterprises.
Combined with the previous softening of the Trump administration's stance on tariffs, Chinese concept stocks are transitioning from 'structural undervaluation' to 'expectation recovery'. This not only releases positive signals of policy easing but also strengthens the attractiveness of Chinese assets from a global allocation perspective.
At this moment, using platforms like Mlion.ai to track real-time sentiment, capital inflows, and favorable industry policies related to Chinese concept stocks will greatly enhance investors' efficiency and success rate in positioning for 'policy inflection point' trends.
Technology stocks and semiconductors lead the rally: core assets regain favor.
In the current U.S. stock market rebound, technology stocks and the semiconductor sector undoubtedly play the role of 'leaders'.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared by 3.96% in a single day.
The Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted Index rose by 3.14%.
The collective effort of high-growth sectors indicates that the market's expectations for future corporate profitability are recovering, and such assets are often the most direct manifestation of a rebound in risk preference in the market.
Especially leading companies in fields such as AI, cloud computing, and semiconductor equipment are regaining focus from incremental capital. This also means that in the coming weeks, the technology sector is expected to maintain a high momentum structure, becoming a key area for short-term capital speculation.
Change in policy direction: Trump's softened stance is a key variable.
According to multiple sources, the U.S. government's trade policy towards China may undergo a key shift, as recent statements from the Trump camp regarding China have shown significant softening. This change in policy 'posture' has greatly alleviated market concerns about ongoing conflicts.
Meanwhile, expectations for the future policy path of the Federal Reserve are gradually becoming clearer, and investors are no longer extremely worried about interest rate uncertainty, leading to a capital inflow into the equity market.
The changes in such policy signals, although not yet officially implemented, have rapidly reflected in asset prices as a stimulus to market sentiment. This also revalidates the characteristic of the market running ahead of fundamentals and policy implementations.
Mlion.ai can provide analysis on such macro policy expectations.
Conduct AI integrated analysis of media reports, social sentiment, and government announcements related to policy changes.
Build a multi-factor logical model of asset pricing and policy orientation.
Predict the price elasticity and risk exposure of policy-sensitive assets.
The global linkage effect is becoming apparent, and U.S. stocks may trigger 'emotional resonance'.
As the largest stock market in the world, the U.S. stock market's movements can easily trigger a 'chain reaction' in international markets.
Currently, the two major output effects brought about by the U.S. stock market rebound are beginning to manifest:
Investor sentiment transmission: The risk preference in the U.S. market is rebounding, increasing the activity of global allocative capital.
Economic expectation linkage: The rise of U.S. stocks is seen as a signal of an optimistic outlook for the U.S. economy, and this sentiment often spills over to other major economies.
Therefore, we have reason to believe that major global stock indices may exhibit a resonant upward pattern driven by the U.S. stock market, especially in the Asia-Pacific and EU capital markets.
Conclusion: Structural opportunities overlap with cyclical windows; how should investors position themselves?
When the S&P 500 and Nasdaq lead the gains, expectations for U.S.-China policy ease, technology stocks explode, and risk preference rises, the market may be forming a new mid-term bullish window. At this point, opportunities begin to concentrate in directions supported by both growth potential and policy dividends.
For investors, the correct strategy is not just to follow the trend but to understand the signals behind it:
What capital is entering the market?
Which sectors have dominant capital?
Does the policy path have continuity?
Which assets are in the early stage of 'awakening ahead of the market'?
These issues happen to be the areas where Mlion.ai's data models and AI strategy diagrams excel. It is not only a tool but also an intelligent investment research hub that helps you see the direction clearly and reduce misjudgments.
Disclaimer: The above content is for informational sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market has risks, and investment should be cautious.