—— People seem to have become accustomed to 'positive' news!
I. Event Review: 'Presidential Dinner' or the rumor chain of 'Binance's equity investment'
Origin: Recently, a picture circulated in the crypto community claiming that 'Trump invites $TRUMP token holders to a Mar-a-Lago dinner,' stating that holding the token could provide VIP qualifications;
Spread Path: The picture was retweeted by certain influential Twitter users and then deleted, causing fluctuations in the $TRUMP token;
Falsifiability: The Mar-a-Lago official website has no event announcements, which is likely a narrative conjecture based on 'On May 13, 2024, Trump invited certain holders of the Trump Digital Trading Card series NFT to a dinner';
Past Events: The Trump family's crypto project WLFI clarified through its official X account that reports from (WSJ) (Bloomberg) about WLFI discussing equity investments with Binance and similar news are unverified and seem politically motivated, aimed at harming the crypto industry;
II. Deep Logic: Market Manipulation Model under Ownerless Narratives
Data Evidence: In Q1 2025, funding in the crypto industry dropped by 72% year-on-year, with a sharp decrease in the number of new projects, the market lacks real positives, and investors are turning to 'rumor arbitrage';
Spread Psychology: A CoinMarketCap survey shows that 68% of retail investors judge the credibility of news solely based on the headline, and are extremely sensitive to narratives involving celebrities (e.g., searches for tokens related to Musk and Trump increased by 400%);
Maturation of the Fraud Industry Chain
False Materials: AI-generated images/videos (e.g., Sora produced Trump speeches), forged media screenshots (WSJ, Coindesk, etc.);
Spread Matrix: Paid KOLs (each tweet $500-2000), Bot Retweets (cost $0.01/tweet);
On-chain Coordination: Whales build positions in advance, then sell in batches after rumors are released (e.g., a certain address made $2.3 million profit during the $TRUMP incident);
Cost-Benefit Ratio: The cost of a single fraud is about $50,000, with potential gains exceeding a million, and legal risks nearing zero;
On-chain Anonymity: 95% of Meme coin issuers use mixers to transfer funds, making tracking extremely difficult.
III. Survival Guide
Source Verification: Use Google reverse image search, verify original media report links (e.g., WSJ official website search);
On-chain Monitoring: Track token holding changes through Arkham and Nansen; if whales increase their positions in advance with no project progress, be wary of potential pump risks;
Position Isolation: Set the investment cap for Meme coins at 5% of total funds, and only use spot trading on exchanges (avoid contract liquidation);
Profit Taking and Loss Cutting: Set a 10% stop-loss line, gradually exit after profits exceed 30%, and refuse FOMO emotions;
