#中美贸易关系
I feel that the current market is like 'pretending to rebound after a fake fall.' The big players definitely won't let the market drop all the way down; they will first pretend to push the market up to trick people into buying in. Once the retail investors jump in, they will close the door and harvest.
Take Ethereum for example; many people previously sold at a loss between $1900 and $1700. If it really were to drop to $1200, the big players wouldn’t just smash it down; they would first push the price up to make retail investors think a bull market has returned. When everyone is frantically buying the dip, they will short at high prices, which is a much more efficient way to harvest.
Why do I say it hasn't hit the bottom yet? Just look at how there are still people in various groups shouting about buying the dip to get rich. A real bottom looks like this: no one is talking in the groups, no one is posting profits on social media, and even the haters are too lazy to complain. That’s when we’ve truly hit the bottom. There are still so many dreaming of getting rich, which shows we haven’t fully dropped!
In the short term, the show may continue; Ethereum might even rise to $1750-$2000, and Bitcoin might act like it's charging up to $90,000. But remember: this is just a mere flash in the pan, not a real bull market! Right now, holding a 50% position, even if Bitcoin drops to $70,000, I still think the bull market isn't over; it’s just a halftime break.
The real buying opportunity will come when Bitcoin drops to its rightful place. Currently, Bitcoin is still above $80,000; if it were to drop to the $74,000 range, that would be the right time to buy altcoins.
Important reminder: right now, retail investors are holding onto Ethereum, Solana, and these altcoins; very few are actually holding Bitcoin. Only when Bitcoin drops to its rightful place, and the market is so cold that no one is discussing it, will altcoins present a golden buying opportunity. Right now, these rebounds are all traps; just watch the show!
