#加密市场反弹

I feel that the current market is like 'pretending to rebound after a fake fall'. The market makers definitely won't let the market drop all the way; they will first pretend to rally to trick people into buying in. Once the retail investors rush in, they will close the door and harvest.

Take Ethereum as an example; many people previously cut their losses when it was around $1900-$1700. If it were really going to drop to a floor price of $1200, the market makers wouldn't just crash it; they would first push it up to make retail investors think a bull market has returned. When everyone is frantically bottom-fishing, they will short at high positions, which is a more efficient way to harvest.

Why do I say it hasn't hit the bottom yet? Look at how in various groups, there are still people shouting to bottom-fish and get rich. The real bottom looks like this: no one is talking in the groups, no one is sharing profits on social media, and even those who usually complain are too lazy to do so; that would be the real bottom. Now, with so many people dreaming of getting rich, it shows that it hasn't dropped through yet!

In the short term, it may continue to act; Ethereum might be pushed to $1750-$2000, and Bitcoin might pretentiously surge to $90,000. But remember: this is just a flash in the pan, not a real bull market! Even if I still hold 50% of my position, I think the bull market isn't over, even if Bitcoin drops to $70,000, at most it's just a halftime break.

The real bottom-fishing opportunity will come when Bitcoin drops to its level first. Now that Bitcoin is still above $80,000, if it can crash to the $74,000 range, that would be a good time to buy altcoins.

Important reminder: right now, retail investors are all holding Ethereum, Solana, and other altcoins; very few people hold Bitcoin. Only when Bitcoin drops to its level and the market is so cold that no one is discussing it will altcoins present a golden opportunity. Right now, these rebounds are all traps; just watch the show!