#USChinaTensions

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Forecasting the China policy of a second Trump administration—and how Beijing might respond—is largely speculative.

During his first term, Donald Trump’s transactional instincts often clashed with the more competitive posture of his advisers. These competing tendencies are likely to shape his second term as well. Despite the uncertainty, one thing remains clear: the administration’s primary challenge will be to position the United States to outpace China as a crucial window in their strategic rivalry begins to close.