👉Saw an interesting perspective that serves as a warning for future investments
Gundlach believes that retail investors are most concerned about the US stock and crypto markets, but currently, the most dangerous market is the bond market! He explained the key to America's prosperity:
In 2016, foreign investment in the US had a net position of 2 trillion US dollars. Now it has grown to 28 trillion. For the past 20 years, the US has been leading emerging markets and Europe.
The core reason is the large amount of foreign capital invested in the US, but now the trade war is breaking this balance, and many foreign investments are starting to weaken in the US. This will be detrimental to the US.
Gundlach's perspective is quite cautionary. In the past, the US maintained economic prosperity through the influx of foreign capital, but now the trade war has led to a decline in foreign investment willingness. Once the scale of 28 trillion in foreign investment shrinks, the US bond market will be the first to suffer, triggering a chain reaction of yield fluctuations and price declines.
Traditional investment logic is based on stable economic growth and continuous capital inflow. The current situation has changed dramatically, and old thinking will inevitably fail. If investors do not adjust their strategies in time, they may suffer severe losses during the violent fluctuations in the bond market. Future investments need to pay more attention to risk hedging and contrarian thinking.
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