ETH Market Analysis: Market Game and Operation Strategy at Key Positions
On May 15, ETH experienced a rapid pullback, with the price quickly falling from $2646 to $2565, and market sentiment was significantly suppressed. The technical indicators show a weak short-term trend,
and the upcoming release of the US PPI data and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes tonight may further influence market direction. Below are the key observation points and operational thoughts for the current market.
1. Key Technical Signals
Short-term Trend Weakening A rapid decline occurred on the 5-minute level, with MACD forming a death cross, indicating enhanced short-term selling pressure. The 4-hour RSI has dropped to 38.7, close to the oversold area, but no clear reversal signal has appeared yet.
Key Support Levels 2550-2580 If the price breaks below 2550, it may further test the 2450-2500 range. On-chain data shows a large number of stop-loss orders in the 2550-2580 range, and if triggered, it may exacerbate short-term volatility.
ETH/BTC Exchange Rate Needs Attention at 0.024 If the exchange rate falls below 0.024, it may affect the overall confidence in altcoins.
2. Important Market Events Tonight
20:30 US PPI Data Previous value monthly rate 0.2%, if the data exceeds expectations (such as 0.5%+), it may strengthen the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates, which is bearish for risk assets.
Early Morning: Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes If the minutes mention "sticky inflation" or "delayed interest rate cuts," the market may come under pressure again.
Ethereum ETF Final Approval Progress If the SEC delays the decision, it may trigger a sell-off in the short term; if approved, be wary of the pullback risk after "good news is priced in."
3. Operational Strategy Reference Short-term Traders If the price rebounds to around 2600 and meets resistance, consider lightly shorting, with a stop-loss set above 2650.
If the 2550 support holds, observe whether a short-term bottom can be formed, but confirmation with trading volume is needed.
Medium to Long-term Holders If the price falls back to the 2450-2500 range, consider accumulating in batches to control overall position risk. Pay attention to the final result of the ETF; if approved, consider taking some profits; if delayed, patiently wait for a lower buying point.
I am @加密33 , skilled in medium and short-term contracts, and medium to long-term spot layouts, regularly sharing investment skills and detailed strategy teaching points @Come!
The cryptocurrency market sector generally retraced, with ETH diving directly from 2700 last night to 2590, down 3.52% in 24 hours, with increased volume pushing up and decreased volume pulling back, a typical trap for the unwary, cutting you without discussion.
Let's look at the data:
1. After breaking through 2700 USD yesterday, ETH began to retreat, falling 3.52% in 24 hours, dropping below 2600 USD. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.68%, but remained around 103,000 USD.
2. The Layer2 and GameFi sectors fell by 7.02% and 6.99% respectively.
3. The PayFi sector fell by 1.85%, and the CeFi sector fell by 1.99%,
Among them, LEO Token (LEO) and Amp (AMP) rose against the trend by 2.00% and 13.75%;
The Layer1 sector fell by 4.53%, while TRON (TRX) rose slightly by 0.55%;
The Meme sector fell by 4.60%, the DeFi sector fell by 4.86%, and Ethena (ENA) fell by 8.85%.
I am @加密33 , skilled in short to medium-term contracts, medium to long-term spot layouts, and regularly share investment tips, detailed strategy teaching points @come!
10K dollars all-in STARTUP, after shouting the order in less than half an hour, the coin price skyrocketed, going from 450,000 market value to over 20 million+
Old script: build positions at the low point + frequent X order shouting + community FOMO driving up, and then—— you become the last one to rush in, that 'liquidity provider'.
I am @加密33 , skilled in medium-short term contracts and medium-long term spot layouts, sharing investment tips daily, detailed strategy teaching points @ come!
Ordinary people can also invest and succeed: The new paradigm of AI + Crypto, these projects are changing the game rules
If you still lament that the investment threshold for AI is too high and you can't even get a taste—then today's case might change your perception. Recently, a project called BurnieAI completed its launch on the Virtual Genesis Launches platform with a subscription rate of 1696% (16 times oversubscribed), skyrocketing 40 times at opening.
More importantly, the participation threshold of this project is not high, and ordinary investors also have a chance to share in the pie. This is not just another hype of a 'shitty coin project,' but a signal that the investment logic in the AI + Crypto field is undergoing a qualitative change.
I made 20 million using this method, a trading strategy even a fool can learn.
Do you think making money relies on skills? Wrong! What truly allowed me to earn 20 million is this set of principles that even a fool can grasp.
Why do you always get stuck at the peak? Why do you always hesitate to cut losses? Why do you always make small gains and large losses?
The answer is simple: You lose to your own nature.
The market never punishes those with poor skills, it only corrects the various smart people who refuse to obey.
Remember these 5 iron rules: 1. Run immediately when a pot lid appears; even a second's delay is a sin. 2. Cut losses exceeding 5% immediately; hesitation leads to liquidation. 3. Only trade in clearly defined trends; keep cash during other times. 4. Trade only once a day; an additional trade is a mistake. 5. Withdraw profits exceeding 20%; cash in hand is real money.
This is not about skills; it's about survival rules. Not a strategy; it's a life-saving talisman.
Smart people study indicators. Experts only do three things: Wait for opportunities, pull the trigger, collect money.
If you still can't trade, contact @加密33 ; don't miss the bull market.
Livermore's Eight Rules in the Crypto World: The Secret of Turning 100,000 into 50,000,000
1. Enter During Panic When others are liquidating, that’s when you should enter.
2. Only Follow Trends Rest during bear markets, go all in during bull markets.
3. Keep an Eye on the Leaders BTC and ETH are the real opportunities.
4. Build Positions Gradually Start with a small position to test the waters, increase when profitable.
5. Mechanical Execution Trade according to your plan, don’t let emotions sway you.
6. Patiently Wait Good opportunities come only two or three times a year.
7. Go with the Flow Wherever the money flows, that’s where you should go.
8. Strictly Cut Losses Cut at a 5% loss immediately, never hesitate.
Remember, the market punishes those who disobey and only rewards disciplined individuals. If you still don’t understand how to operate, call @加密33 and start making profits.
You're not trading coins; you're staying up late and ruining your life—4 iron rules for survival from contract veterans.
Is the first thing you do in the morning checking the market, and the last thing at night is still staring at the candlestick chart? Listen to my advice—if you continue like this, don't say you’re making money; you may lose your life. I too learned from being liquidated, from recovering a fully invested account to zero liquidation, I’ve walked all kinds of paths. Later, I learned my lesson, using painful losses to gain 4 life-saving experiences. Now I steadily make profits and can sleep well. No hiding, I'll give you the hard facts directly, especially the last point, it could save your life! 1️⃣ Not setting a stop-loss = waiting to die "Just hold on a little longer and it will come back..."
But not only will it not come back, the next wave will be an even harsher drop.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Meeting Preview: Is a June Rate Hold Certain? Powell Must Give a Clear Answer Tonight!
⚠️ Key Points to Watch: - 70% Chance of a Rate Cut in June? Don’t Dream! The economy hasn’t collapsed, the Fed will definitely hold firm; tonight we focus on Powell's hints about a July rate cut!
- May Meeting = Circular Talk! "Watch the Data, Focus on Inflation, Stay Patient" — Powell's old routine, the market has already heard enough!
- The Real Powder Keg is in June! While a June rate cut seems unlikely, the dot plot could ignite market movements — will there be 2 or 3 cuts this year? That’s the nuclear-level signal!
📉 Market Reaction: Everyone is waiting for Powell's performance tonight — Dove or Hawk? A single statement could cause BTC and ETH to surge instantly!
💥 Ultimate Prediction: If Powell dares to be dovish tonight, the market will take off; If he plays the hawk, prepare for a bloodbath!
May was just an appetizer, June is the main battlefield; stay calm, don’t FOMO!
The Truth About Losses! 90% of Contract Players Are Killed Like Pigs by the Operators! 3 Trades Determine Life and Death, Stop Loss = Save Your Life
👉 The Deadly Traps of the Contract Market
1. High Leverage = Suicidal Charge
With 100x leverage, a 1% reverse fluctuation can leave you with nothing!
Case Study: In March 2025, a retail investor used 50x leverage to go long on SHIB and was liquidated for 870,000 within an hour.
2. Emotional Trading = Giving Money to Operators
What do operators fear the most? Stubborn bulls and panicked bears!
Data: 90% of liquidated traders fall victim to the foolish practice of "averaging down."
3. Frequent Trading = Working for the Exchange
Each transaction incurs a fee of 0.1%, so after 100 trades, you’ve given away 10% of your capital!
Statistics from a certain platform: 83% of users who trade more than 50 times a month end up in debt.
👉 The "Trend Explosion Point" Strategy That Operators Fear the Most
1. Determine Direction on the Daily Chart: Like a sniper locking onto prey.
2. Find Sniping Positions on the 4-Hour Chart: Choke the operator's throat.
Key support/resistance levels must meet: ✓ Previous highs/lows ±2% ✓ Trading volume surges over 300% ✓ MACD shows a second golden cross above water.
3. Precise Entry on the 1-Hour Chart: The Art of Blood on the Knife Edge. When the candlestick shows "Three Black Crows" or "Morning Star," pull the trigger immediately!
👉 Blood and Tears Lessons: These Operations Reduce You to Cannon Fodder
1. Holding onto Losses: A certain major player held ETH from 1800 to 800 without stopping loss, ultimately being liquidated for 20 million.
2. Adding to Floating Profits:
Chasing after BTC when it rises to 100,000, only to see it fall back to 60,000.
3. Emotional Trading:
Going all in based on bullish tweets from Musk, only to see a 15% drop the next day.
👉 Life-Saving Iron Rules: Stop Loss is More Important Than Profit! 1. Stop Loss Formula:
Single loss ≤ 2% of total capital. Shut down during extreme market conditions (e.g., BTC daily volatility > 30%).
2. Against Human Nature Operations:
When the price rises to a point where you are afraid to buy, decisively go long. When it drops to the point of questioning life, go all out for the bottom.
3. Capital Management:
Never open a position larger than 10% of your capital each time. Withdraw 50% of your principal after profits exceed 30%.
👉 New Play Style: Eat Meat and Drink Soup 1. Sniping Regulatory Loopholes:
New regulations from the US CFTC: USDT contract fees soar by 50%, directly abandon altcoins!
2. Monitor Whale Movements:
A certain address suddenly accumulates 100,000 BTC? Go long immediately!
3. On-Chain Data Alerts:
When net inflow to the exchange exceeds 1 billion USD, close positions immediately!
$157.1 million net inflow! The U.S. ETH spot ETF ends 30 days of "bleeding" nightmare #以太坊的未来
💥 Three Key Signals Short Surrender: Funds that were shorting ETH are forced to cover their positions Bottom Confirmation: Net inflow day = price rebound day, $3000 may become a solid bottom SEC Softening: Approval delayed but not denied, leaving room for speculation
🚨 Beware! Three Major Traps ❌ Fake Rebound Risk: It could just be a short-term short squeeze, not a trend reversal ❌ VC Unlock Bomb: $500 million ETH waiting to be sold next month ❌ Altcoin Bloodsucking: Funds may only flow into ETFs, not into spot
4.26 Cryptocurrency Prices Today: BTC breaks 95,000, SOL skyrockets 13%!
Follow me, so you don't get lost 1. Market review: BTC surges violently, altcoins collectively erupt
1. Bitcoin records the largest single-week gain since the US election Price: $95,136 (▲1.29%), 7-day surge of 12.59% Key breakthrough: Stabilizing at strong support of $94,000, targeting previous high of $98,000 Capital flow: Single-day ETF net inflow of $442 million, BlackRock's IBIT attracts $45.5 million
2. Ethereum stages a 'roller coaster' market Price: $1,803 (▲1.61%), weekly increase of 13.66% but daily line shows a long upper shadow Fatal blow: Ethereum ETF sees a net outflow of $1.1 billion over seven weeks, Grayscale ETHE fee reaches 2.5%
Major Turn in the China-US Tariff War! Gold Loses Ground! Bitcoin Soars, What's Next? —— Today's Biggest Mystery: Is China's "Concession" a Genuine Negotiation or a Delay Tactic?
🔥 Nuclear-Level News: China Considers Lifting Some Tariffs on the US! Global Markets Erupt Instantly
Gold Plummets 1.4%, Breaking Key Support at $3300
US Dollar Violently Rebounds, Bulls Celebrate while Bears Moan
Bitcoin is Stirring, Could it Become the Biggest Winner?
💥 Analysis of Three Major Market Movements
1️⃣ Gold's "Safe Haven" Fails China Signals Tariff Concessions, Safe-Haven Assets Are Sold Off Gold Price Dives $40 in a Single Day, $3287 Support Level in Jeopardy But Long-Term Bulls Scoff: Fed Rate Cuts Are Imminent, Downturns Are Buying Opportunities
2️⃣ US Dollar Strikes Back DXY Index Soars 0.3% in a Single Day, Harvesting Global Currencies Renminbi Under Pressure, Offshore Rate Approaches 7.2 Again Analysts Warn: Beware of Trump Changing His Mind Again!
3️⃣ Cryptocurrency Undercurrents Bitcoin Resists Downward Pressure, Is the "Digital Gold" Narrative Restarting? Trump Concept Coins (TRUMP, MAGA) Surge Over 15% on Rumors Whale Movements: A Certain Address Massively Buys 5000 BTC to Hedge Risks
🚨 Outlook: What's Next? Gold: If It Breaks Below $3280, It May Dip to $3167; If It Holds, A Rebound is Likely Bitcoin: Sino-US Thaw Benefits Risk Assets, $68,000 Becomes the Divide for Bulls and Bears Trump Coin: Pure Gambling Tool, Volatile Swings More Stimulating than Contracts
Quick Look!! On April 24, U.S. stock market pre-opening, cryptocurrency concept stocks and tech giants collectively declined, with risk assets under pressure:
👉 Cryptocurrency Sector Coinbase (COIN) fell 2.3%, continuing the downward trend under regulatory pressure.
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) fell 3.34%, with $TRUMP coin speculation retreating dragging it down.
Mining stocks led the decline: MicroStrategy (MSTR) fell 2.86%, MARA fell 3.18%, Riot fell 3.33%, Hut 8 fell 2.85%, with concerns exacerbated by underwhelming hash power expansion and rising electricity costs.
👉 Tech Giants Microsoft (MSFT) fell 0.46%, with expectations of slowing Azure cloud growth suppressing valuations.
Apple (AAPL) fell 1.25%, with the EU's Digital Markets Act impacting the app store ecosystem.
Nvidia (NVDA) fell 1.78%, with concerns rising over AI chip orders peaking in the short term.
Meta (META) fell 1.36%, with Reality Labs burning cash + weak ad recovery exerting dual pressure.
Google (GOOG) fell 0.9%, Amazon (AMZN) fell 1.11%, both underperforming the market.
👉 Key Market Data The 30-day correlation between cryptocurrency stocks and tech stocks rose to 0.82, with funds simultaneously fleeing high-risk assets. The probability of a Fed rate hike in June increased to 32% due to unexpectedly sticky core inflation. The average decline in the cryptocurrency sector was 2.9%, significantly higher than the S&P 500 futures decline of 0.8%.
Data shows that market concerns about a Fed rate “hard landing” have intensified, leading to a broad decline in risk assets, with the high beta characteristics of cryptocurrency and tech stocks amplifying the pressure to correct.
Some friends know that before I achieved my first small goal in life, I also suffered significant losses.
This happened about five years ago, and many people want to know how I turned things around after those losses. Today, I would like to share a few practical experiences: —— "The market rewards only the precise hunters from different emotional cries"
1. Data-driven decision making: Candlestick charts and capital flow First, one must abandon the mystical notion of "feelings". Every day, I must do three things during my review:
① Calculate the deviation of the BTC funding rate (>0.1% indicates a potential trend change) ② Monitor the USDT premium rate (reduce positions immediately if it exceeds 2%) ③ Record large on-chain whale transfers (any single transfer >1000 BTC must be tracked)
2. Mandatory stop-loss mechanism Before each trade, I must set a dynamic stop-loss: Stop-loss price = Support level - (ATR×2)
3. Counter-intuitive operations The iron rule of adding positions against the trend:
When the market is in panic (Fear and Greed Index < 20): ① Identify blue-chip coins with RSI < 30 ② Add 1% to positions for every 3% drop ③ Close positions immediately after a 5% rebound FOMO counter-strategy:
When the group is flooding with "hundred times coins": ① Short related altcoins ② Go long on their benchmark leaders (like going long on DOGE when SHIB surges)
4. Cognitive upgrade Study various information weekly to break the information gap or read 2 on-chain reports (CoinMetrics/CoinGlass) to build a trading signal library
5. Survival bottom line: Better to earn less than to suffer large losses Never touch contract leverage (unless you are a professional trader) A single-day loss of 5% → mandatory shutdown for 24 hours Every quarter, review positions: eliminate strategies with returns < 15%