👉 China Turns to Canadian Oil
🔥 Core Events
China Significantly Reduces U.S. Oil Imports (-90%), Shifting to Canada, Russia, and the Middle East
Canada's Oil Exports to China Hit Record Highs, Filling the U.S. Share
The China-U.S. Energy Game Escalates, Reshaping Global Oil Trade Patterns
💥 Analysis of the Impact on the China-U.S. Trade War
1. [U.S. Energy Exports Suffer Heavy Blow]
✅ Direct Losses:
China Was the Second-Largest Buyer of U.S. Crude Oil (About 15% Share Before 2024)
90% of Procurement Volume Will Be Cut
✅ Political Pressure:
Texas, Alaska, and Other Oil State Legislators Pressure Biden/Trump Administration
May Force the U.S. to Concede in Tariff Negotiations (e.g., Easing Energy Sanctions)
2. [China's Energy Security Strategy Upgrade]
✅ Successful Diversification:
Canada Becomes the Biggest Winner (Exports to China Surge by 200%)
Russia and Saudi Arabia Increase Supply Simultaneously, Reducing Dependence on the U.S.
✅ Countermeasures Against the U.S.:
Oil is the Core of Trump's 'Energy Dominance' Strategy; China's Supply Cut Hits His Political Slogan
Weaken the Threat of U.S. 'Energy Sanctions' (e.g., Secondary Sanctions on Iran and Venezuela)
3. [Global Energy Market Reshuffle]
✅ Canada Rises:
Alberta's Oil Sands Production Fully Unleashed; Pipeline Construction to China Accelerated
May Squeeze U.S. Market Share in Europe and Asia
✅ Russia and the Middle East Benefit:
China Takes the Opportunity to Strengthen 'Energy Alliance' with Russia (Increase in Yuan Settlement Share)
Saudi Aramco Increases Long-term Supply Agreements with China
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🚨 Follow-up on the Trade War
U.S. May Retaliate:
Pressuring Canada to Restrict Exports to China (Using Control Over U.S.-Canada Oil Pipelines)
Impose Tariffs on China's New Energy Industry (e.g., Lithium Batteries, Photovoltaics)
👉 China's Countermeasures:
Further Reduce U.S. Natural Gas and Coal Imports
Promote 'Petro-Yuan' Settlement, Weaken Dollar Hegemony
👉 Long-term Impact:
Decoupling of Energy Accelerates: U.S. and China Transition from 'Trade War' to 'Resource War'
Global Oil Price Volatility: If Middle Eastern Conflicts Overlap, It May Trigger a New Round of Energy Crisis
💡 Conclusion: China Plays the 'Energy Card'; The U.S. Faces a Dilemma
Short-term: China Successfully Avoids U.S. Energy Sanctions; Canada and Russia Become Winners
Medium-term: The U.S. May Escalate the Trade War, but Political Pressure from Energy States Limits Its Actions
Long-term: Acceleration of 'De-Americanization' in Global Energy Trade; Push for Yuan Internationalization
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