Bitcoin ($BTC ) struggles to consolidate an upward trend, remaining close to $85,000 after recovering from recent drops. Its evolution depends on overcoming that resistance with higher volume and a bullish crossover between moving averages (10 and 20 days). The macroeconomic context, marked by the trade war between the U.S. and China, is key: a 90-day truce prompted a rebound, but concrete diplomatic advances are required to sustain confidence. China, although conciliatory, maintains tariffs of 125%, and any escalation could sink Bitcoin. At the same time, its narrative as "digital gold" against potential inflation from tariffs and greater institutional adoption could catapult its price, as long as ETFs attract significant capital.