Bitcoin Eagle 🦅 4.13 Accurate Market Analysis

Good morning, brothers. This morning, BTC briefly broke through $86,000.

Currently, the U.S. government has made a "180-degree turn" on tariff policies.

Yesterday, the U.S. exempted some goods from "reciprocal tariffs,"

exempting electronics such as smartphones, computers, and chips from the so-called "reciprocal tariffs."

Documents show that the exempted products apply to electronics entering the U.S. after April 5,

and those who have already paid the "reciprocal tariffs" can seek refunds.

This measure may alleviate the price increase pressure faced by U.S. consumers to some extent,

and it will benefit companies like Apple and Samsung.

Previously, various U.S. assets plummeted, causing panic among people,

Trump's approval ratings fell rapidly,

even die-hard fans like Musk came out to oppose him!

So Trump is under pressure and has started to lower tariffs.

At the same time, the U.S. is negotiating with different countries to lower tariffs,

so there will be various good news in the future.

Therefore, we judge that the overall market trend is positive.

If there are no other issues,

BTC should be able to return to $100,000 in May.

But we must be wary of a few black swans in the meantime.

Just like Trump suddenly imposing tariffs, causing a huge drop in the global financial market.

Some negative events may occur suddenly.

We must understand that investing is not smooth sailing and carries risks.

(1) The U.S. is negotiating with Iran to cancel the nuclear program.

If Iran refuses, there may be a war where Israel and the U.S. bomb Iran.

This situation could lead to a 10% drop in BTC, with a current probability of 20%.

(2) Mentougou suddenly selling coins, with a probability of 30%.

Selling over a billion dollars worth of BTC now is difficult for the market to absorb,

leading to a 5% drop in BTC.

Investing carries risks, please invest with spare money and make independent decisions $BTC $ETH