$ETH
Technical Analysis of ETH: Retracements vs. Impulses โ Key Strategies
๐ Current Situation (Ethereum)
- Market Structure: ETH follows a pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe, but with deep retracements (e.g. 23.6%-38.2% Fib).
- Volume: Impulses with decreasing volume (bearish divergence) on H4 suggest possible buying exhaustion.
- Key Indicators:
- RSI: Oscillating in neutral zone (50-60), without extreme overbought/oversold.
- MACD: Bullish crossover on D1, but histogram losing strength.
โก Strategies for Retracements
1๏ธโฃ Key Fib levels for longs:
- 38.2%: Ideal accumulation zone (historical support in uptrend).
- 61.8%: Signal of weakness if lost (possible structure change).
- Stop-loss: 2% below entry level.
2๏ธโฃ Reversal Confirmation:
- Bullish absorption candles + increasing volume at supports.
- Use wick rejections on H1/H4 charts for precise entries.
๐ Strategies for Impulses
1๏ธโฃ Breakout with volume:
- Enter on weekly close above local resistance (e.g. $3,800).
- Targets: 1:2 RR (using ATR to avoid false breakouts).
2๏ธโฃ Hidden divergences:
- If price makes a lower low but RSI/MACD shows a higher low, prepare for impulse.
โ ๏ธ Risks and Management
- False retracements: If ETH breaks 61.8% Fib with high volume, avoid longs until new support.
- Macro news: Events like delays in ETH ETFs can cause abrupt volatility.
๐ ๏ธ Recommended Tools on Binance
- OCO Orders: To automate entries on retracements and exits at resistances.
- Advanced Charts: Use Heikin-Ashi to filter noise in deep retracements.
๐ Conclusion: ETH maintains bullish bias, but retracements are key opportunities. Do you prefer to trade *pullbacks* or wait for breakouts? Share your approach!