📉 Financial Markets: A Historic Shock
Last week entered history as one of the most turbulent in recent years. Financial markets are in turmoil due to escalating geopolitics, trade wars, and uncertainty in global central bank policies.

🔺 Markets in Panic:

China plunged by -10%—the largest drop since 2008.

Nasdaq -5.4%, S&P 500 -3.84%—the worst three-day fall since "Black Monday."

Japan's Nikkei 225 fell by 8% within the first 30 minutes of trading.

Taiwan banned short selling—a desperate attempt to stabilize the market.

🔮 Cryptocurrencies: Stability or?
While stocks and metals fell, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies showed resilience:

BTC rebounded on Friday despite ETF outflows.

Inflows into BTC ETFs before tariffs reached +$220M, with outflows at -$100M and -$65M respectively.

This signals the emergence of long-term holders viewing crypto as a hedge against fiat instability.

🧭 What’s Next:
If China and the U.S. fail to reach a tariff agreement, markets may continue falling as investors reassess global recession risks:

Another wave of sell-offs is possible; S&P 500 and Nasdaq could lose an additional 3–5%.

Investors will keep hedging, but traditional strategies are losing effectiveness as volatility rises (VIX at 45).

💥 Crypto Forecast:

BTC/USD: Current range $65,000–$71,000. Likely breakout upward if:

Positive tariff news emerges (delays or negotiations).

Signs of Fed policy easing appear.

Continued ETF inflows persist.

🧩 Conclusion: A Market at a Crossroads
The situation resembles March 2020 but with different drivers—not a pandemic but geoeconomics and trade wars reshaping models from hedging to correlations.

Cryptocurrencies are increasingly seen as uncorrelated assets, especially BTC, which is viewed as an alternative to gold with higher returns and accessibility. In a stagflationary environment where the Fed cannot print money as before, demand for decentralized assets is expected to grow.

🧠 Strategy: Hold BTC, capitalize on altcoin rebounds, avoid highly Nasdaq-correlated tokens, and keep stablecoins ready for dips.