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Weekly Market Review Last week demonstrated that the labor market continues to slow, although it remains resilient. May data showed a mere increase of 139,000 nonfarm payrolls —one of the smallest gains since the pandemic—and figures for the previous two months were revised downward by a total of 95,000 . Meanwhile, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2% . Under current conditions, this environment is ideal for risk assets. Recession risks are gradually receding, and the beginning of the interest rate cut cycle appears to be drawing closer, even amid uncertainty surrounding trade wars. In this context, this week’s inflation data takes on increasing importance, as it could provide additional insight ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting on June 18 . A rate cut is unlikely at this meeting, but any subtle hint from Jerome Powell toward future easing could support risk assets. Key Events This Week June 9 (Monday) U.S.-China Trade Talks There is potential for a relaxation of export controls on U.S. AI chip shipments to China. June 11 (Wednesday) CPI – Consumer Price Index Year-over-year figures may show a slight rise, mainly due to base effects from a low-comparison period dropping out. For a more dovish tone from Powell, a monthly decline in inflation will be necessary. Otherwise, we may hear again about the need for "additional data." June 12 (Thursday) PPI – Producer Price Index Following the release of PPI and CPI data, banks will begin issuing forecasts for the May PCE index , which is the key inflation measure monitored by the Fed. Unemployment Claims Initial jobless claims are expected to reach 241,000 —a relatively high number, reinforcing concerns about labor market weakness. June 13 (Friday) University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Markets will closely watch consumer inflation expectations . According to the latest report, one-year inflation expectations remain elevated at 6.6% , a level that has persisted for three months. Any drop in this figure could provide further support to risk assets #BTC #FedPolicy #InflationWatch
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Weekly Market Review Last week turned out to be far from uneventful by Friday, when Trump announced he recommends imposing a 50% tariff on EU goods starting June 1. This was his response to what he called a weak tariff proposal from the EU. In true Trump style—threaten first, negotiate later—his statement prompted a Sunday phone call from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. As a result, the imposition of 50% tariffs on the EU was postponed to July 9 (the date when reciprocal tariffs are scheduled to take effect). 🗓 Macro Stats in Focus Starting Wednesday: May 28 (Wednesday) NVIDIA Q1 Earnings Report: Given NVIDIA’s market cap, the report could have a strong impact on the overall stock indices and potentially set the tone for the tech sector. May 29 (Thursday) Preliminary GDP q/q (Second Estimate): The first reading showed a 0.3% decline in U.S. GDP, raising recession concerns. Any upward revision will likely be viewed positively by markets. Prelim GDP Price Index q/q: A key stagflation risk indicator. Markets will welcome a decline in this figure. Unemployment Claims: Labor market data is best interpreted in the context of inflation. Ideally, markets want economic slowdown and inflation to decelerate in tandem. May 30 (Friday) PCE Price Index: This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. It’s based on CPI and PPI data already released, so the market impact will depend on how the actual figure compares to the forecast. Risk assets are likely to rally on a lower-than-expected reading. Crypto Market Bitcoin has set a new all-time high at $111,980. With strong institutional demand (BTC ETF inflows hit $2.75 billion last week), the uptrend is likely to continue. The $114,000–$115,000 range is a potential short-term target—beyond that, it’s all about how far the imagination goes. Ethereum (ETH) is also attracting attention, with $250 million in ETH ETF inflows last week. After two weeks of consolidation, a breakout to the upside is likely, with a test of the $2,800–$3,000 zone expected #Bitcoin #BTC #ETH #TradingSignal #Trading
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Weekly Crypto Market Recap: BTC Eyes New ATH, ETH Targets Key Resistance This week saw consolidation across major cryptocurrencies as they adapt to new price levels. ETF Inflows : BTC ETFs attracted $260M and ETH ETFs $41.5M — a sign of growing institutional confidence.Bitcoin : Just 4% from its all-time high. Technical indicators like the golden cross and liquidation maps suggest a potential short squeeze ahead.Ethereum : Testing critical $2,800–$2,900 resistance zone. Macro Environment : Mixed — tariff cuts and Fed easing expectations support markets, while inflation fears persist due to supply chain issues and PPI data concerns. Risk Notes : BTC volatility may rise near ATH. Use caution with shorts — bull momentum remains strong. #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoAnalysis #BNB #BSC #Altcoins #DeFi #NFTs
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🚀 Bitcoin Market Weekly Outlook (May 12–19, 2025) Last week’s hawkish Fed meeting and ongoing US-China trade talks in Geneva are setting the tone for global markets. Bitcoin has surged above $100,000, showing strong momentum: 📊 Key Insights from the Charts: Price Action: BTC has broken out above $100,000, with a golden cross (50 MA > 200 MA) signaling bullish momentum. Volatility: 21-day rolling volatility is below average, suggesting a more stable, less speculative rally. Liquidations: Major short liquidations around $103,150 indicate strong bullish sentiment and forced exits from bearish traders. 🔎 What to Watch This Week: US inflation data (CPI on Tuesday, PPI on Thursday) Jerome Powell’s commentary post-data release Results from US-China negotiations Base scenario: Consolidation between $100,000–$107,000, with potential for further growth if macro data is supportive. Key Takeaway: Technicals and macro factors align for a period of consolidation and possible upside. Keep an eye on market volumes and macro headlines! #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TradingAnalysis #FedMeeting #Inflation #Volatility #Liquidations #CryptoNews #BTCForecast
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🚀 Bitcoin Eyes $92K as Bulls Maintain Pressure BTC continues its bullish momentum after key limit orders around $88K were filled on the spot market. Attention now shifts to the $92K resistance zone, while buy-side interest remains strong near $80K on both spot and futures. 📊 From the Liquidation Map: Heavy long liquidations below $88K have been absorbed. Predictive clusters point to potential liquidations up to $92K, increasing pressure on short positions. Green curve shows building short liquidations above current price — shorts are increasingly exposed. 📉 Volume and Order Book Insights: Trading activity is strong in the current range, signaling active seller resistance. However, price remains firm despite sell pressure, indicating demand is effectively absorbing liquidity. Limit order flow remains balanced — a sign of market resilience. 📈 Price & Trend Outlook: BTC is trading near its 50-day moving average and approaching the 200-day from below. A breakout above both would confirm a bullish reversal. Market price (~$88,914) acts as a short-term magnet level. 📅 This Week’s Macro Events: IMF outlook (Apr 22) G20 finance meeting (Apr 23) Fed Beige Book & US jobless claims (Apr 24) SEC crypto custody roundtable (Apr 25) 🔍 Market Forecast: Volatility remains compressed, setting the stage for a breakout. Despite recent highs, bearish positioning still makes up 20%+ of block trades — highlighting a sentiment mismatch. Watch for price action around $92K and potential volatility from U.S. macro signals or SEC updates. #BTC #Binance #BTCUSDT #SpotTrading #FuturesTrading #CryptoTrends #BitcoinLevels #BTCStrategy #BinanceUpdate
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