📉 Goldman Sachs: Recession in the USA — getting closer. The probability has risen to 45% 😬
After Trump's statements about new retaliatory tariffs, Goldman Sachs analysts raised the probability of a recession in 2025 from 35% to 45%.
📌 Reasons:
• Tightening of financial conditions
• Risks of boycott from other countries
• Rise in political uncertainty
• Potential hit to investments
📊 If Trump's tariffs (coming into effect on April 9) actually take effect, the US GDP forecast for Q4 2025 will fall to 0.5%
💬 Goldman expects:
➡️ 3 rate cuts from the Fed, starting in June
➡️ A new wave of pressure on the market
Tariffs are a tool of pressure, but who ultimately pays the bills? 🤔
Share your opinion below👇