In the information age, the speed is constantly accelerating!
#加密市场观察 #美国加密战略储备
The prediction for the end of 2024 is a three-month rally of inducement (article link: Real Prediction)
Last year's article, in conjunction with Shen Yu's post, predicted that there would be a rally inducement after the election, and the market would continue to slowly decline until October 2025—but currently, the market is developing rapidly, and it is estimated that it will reverse and explode early:
The inducement market in November-December 2024 is developing too quickly, only maintaining a month of main upward wave, peaking in mid to late December, beginning to slowly decline, with a 2.3 crash ending market illusions, and another drop on 2.24, with the panic and greed index falling below 30.
Originally predicted to be a three-month inducement, peaking in mid to late February, then slowly declining until the summer vacation in July-August, maintaining a super low panic and greed index for 1-2 months, with a reversal starting in October during the golden autumn.
But from the current view, as the information age accelerates, the market activity also accelerates. If the inducement market ends more than a month early, then the slow decline will also shorten and conclude by mid-March. It is expected to maintain this panic index for less than a month (the market trading volume is languishing, with no buying power and exhausted bottom-fishing), likely leading to a reversal explosion by mid to early April.
At that time, even a small piece of positive news in the market will be amplified and lead to a rally, while the bears will think it's a shorting opportunity based on the rebound that has lasted for 25 years, continuously providing fuel.
The joint large-scale monetary easing between China and the U.S. in 2025— the biggest bet in the global financial market!