GM... Market Briefing! ☕📈

Jobless claims dropped, but continuing claims are on the rise. A calm Thursday as expected. Bitcoin tends to go up twice before dipping once, and it’s already had its dip. Today, we’ve got NFP data and a White House meeting with top crypto industry figures. RSI 51. Bitcoin still sitting at $90K 😌

Market Outlook (UTC+0)

📉 00:00 - 03:00 – Red
📉 09:00 - 11:00 – Red
📉 15:00 - 17:00 – Red
📉 21:00 - 22:00 – Red

Areas to Watch 👀

🟢 03:00 - 08:00 (was 10:00 - 15:00 UTC+7) – Green because PBOC has been withdrawing liquidity for 3 days. Based on experience, they don’t withdraw on Fridays. Plus, China’s data keeps improving, and Japan’s rising bond yields signal QE could be on the way.

🟢 12:00 - 15:00 (was 19:00 - 22:00 UTC+7) – Green despite NFP’s slight forecasted increase. Even if it rises more than expected, it won’t make the Fed hawkish because ADP is already falling, retail sales are down, durable goods are negative, and the Fed’s mandate is at risk.

🟢 18:30 - 20:30 (was 01:30 - 03:30 UTC+7) – Powell speaks, followed by Trump, then RRP drops. Fundamentally, this should be green unless Powell makes a shock statement (like Basel End Game III) or Trump cancels the BTC reserve idea—unlikely but worth keeping in mind.

Final Note ⚠️

Don’t just ride on luck—do your own analysis too! 😉

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Source: @hoteliercrypto